“…For example, adults overestimate their skills and performance on tasks related to reasoning, humor, and grammar (Kruger & Dunning, 1999); children overestimate their ability to remember pictures (Lipko, Dunlosky, & Merriman, 2009) and to perform physical tasks (Schneider, 1998); and consumers overestimate how easy it will be to learn to use a new product (Billeter, Kalra, & Loewenstein, 2011). Most relevant to the present research, students often overestimate how well they will perform on an upcoming test of their learning (e.g., Hacker, Bol, & Bahbahani, 2008;Miller & Geraci, 2011a, b; but see Griffin, Jee, & Wiley, 2009;Shanks & Serra, 2014), which can impair their study behaviors (Metcalfe & Finn, 2008). The reasons for such overconfidence, however, are not yet well understood.…”