2019
DOI: 10.1093/jleo/ewy027
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The Effects of Electoral Incentives on Fiscal Policy: Evidence from a Legislative Change at the Local Government Level

Abstract: This paper analyzes how electoral incentives shape fiscal policy, focusing on the introduction of mayoral term limits in Portugal. Applying a difference-in-differences approach, we find evidence that when a municipality has a term-limited mayor, it experiences a fall in revenues and expenditures. The effect seems to be driven by lower effort of lame-duck mayors, relative to reelection-eligible ones, to implement new investments and to obtain conditional grants from the central government, especially in electio… Show more

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Cited by 9 publications
(1 citation statement)
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“…Implementing the main objectives of government fiscal policy and public finance management aimed at realistic budget planning, pursuing a coherent fiscal policy to avoid the pro-cyclical impact of the budget on the economy, ensuring priority government policies and limiting inefficient spending and structures, are a prerequisite for increasing economic activity and growth in the country (Castro, Martins, 2018;Veiga, Veiga, 2019). Compared to 2019, in 2020 higher costs were incurred, mainly related to the measures taken to prevent the spread of COVID-19 and its treatment, measures to support business and social measures to reduce the negative effects of the pandemic.…”
Section: Economic Activities and Servicesmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Implementing the main objectives of government fiscal policy and public finance management aimed at realistic budget planning, pursuing a coherent fiscal policy to avoid the pro-cyclical impact of the budget on the economy, ensuring priority government policies and limiting inefficient spending and structures, are a prerequisite for increasing economic activity and growth in the country (Castro, Martins, 2018;Veiga, Veiga, 2019). Compared to 2019, in 2020 higher costs were incurred, mainly related to the measures taken to prevent the spread of COVID-19 and its treatment, measures to support business and social measures to reduce the negative effects of the pandemic.…”
Section: Economic Activities and Servicesmentioning
confidence: 99%