“…It is more relevant than evidence on the effects of health insurance obtained from marginal changes in coverage, even when this is obtained experimentally (Newhouse, 1993;Finkelstein et al, 2012), because supply-side responses can make the impact of a large scale expansion of coverage disproportionate to that of a small scale increase (Finkelstein, 2007;Kondo, Shigeoka, 2013). Evidence from a middle-income country that implemented universal coverage a decade ago is more relevant to emerging economies contemplating this step than is evidence from the experience of the US and Japan fifty years ago (Finkelstein, 2007;Finkelstein, McKnight, 2008;Kondo, Shigeoka, 2013), and even from Taiwan (Chen et al, 2007;Chou et al, 2011;Chang, 2012;Keng, Sheu, 2013) that implemented universal coverage in 1995 at a much higher level of income than that of Thailand in 2002. Our evidence is distinguished from that obtained from major expansions of health insurance in the middle income settings of Colombia and Mexico not only by geography and the lower income of Thailand, but also by the nature of the reform in Colombia, which offered a means-tested subsidy for the purchase of private insurance covering care at a restricted network of providers (Miller et al, 2012), and the nature of the evidence in Mexico, which comes from an experiment that offers only a ten-month window within which to identify the effect on treated individuals offered the opportunity to voluntarily enroll relative to controls (King et al, 2009;Barofsky, 2011).…”