The Factors Affecting Egypt’s Exports:  Evidence from the Gravity Model Analysis

Elshehawy, Mohamed A.; Shen, Hongfang; Ahmed, Rania A.

doi:10.4236/jss.2014.211020

Cited by 27 publications

(25 citation statements)

References 17 publications

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“…An increase of 1 % of the population in export destination countries is estimated to be able to increase 31,138 tons of the volume of exports to export destination countries, ceteris paribus. These results are in accordance with the prior empirical applications by Zarzoso & Lehmann (2003), and Elshehawy, Shen, & Ahmed, (2014) where export destination countries with large populations will import more than countries with small populations. With this assumption, because the EU is the largest market for Indonesian canned tuna, the effect provided will also be very significant.…”

Section: Lner Ijsupporting

confidence: 91%

A Gravity Model for Indonesian Canned Tuna Exports to the European Union Market: An Application of PPML Estimator

Wiranthi

Aminudin

Dewi

2019

Sriwijaya Int. J. of Dynamic Eco. And Buss.

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In this study, we examine the factors that affect the export of Indonesian canned tuna to the European Union (EU) market through a gravity model approach. This paper employs a gravity model approach through Poisson Pseudo-Maximum Likelihood (PPML) estimation. Data from 2006 to 2015 covering 10 countries in the EU market (Netherlands, Belgium, Italy, Germany, Poland, Portugal, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, and the United Kingdom) were employed with HS 160414 product code specifications. Constant Market Share Analysis (CMSA) was performed to examine Indonesian export growth as well as its competitors. The findings indicated that the performance of Indonesian canned tuna exports to the EU market is prominently affected by competitiveness effect while Thai canned tuna export is more affected by the import growth effect and composition effect. The Philippines and Vietnam canned tuna exports are more affected by composition effect and competitiveness effect. The factors that significantly affect the export of Indonesian canned tuna to the EU market are the population of the importing countries, tuna production volumes and real exchange rate.

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Section: Lner Ijsupporting

confidence: 91%

A Gravity Model for Indonesian Canned Tuna Exports to the European Union Market: An Application of PPML Estimator

Wiranthi

Aminudin

Dewi

2019

Sriwijaya Int. J. of Dynamic Eco. And Buss.

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“…As to China GDP, a 1 % increase in GDP will increase up to 3.87 and 3.75% of total export as stated by FE and RE estimations, respectively. This finding confirmed previous reports on investigating the influences of exporter's GDP on trade flows [41][42][43][44][45] and positively correlated with theoretical expectation. These results implied that GDP rise would lead to increase of country's production capacity and generate more export opportunities.…”

Section: Re Regression Analysissupporting

confidence: 91%

Determinants of China’s Rice Export after WTO Accession: A Gravity Model Analysis

Lien

Feng

Fei

2019

AJAAR

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This paper applied the commodity-specific gravity approach to investigate the influenced factors to China’s rice export to its major trading partners after World Trade Organization (WTO) accession over 2001- 2014 period. The gravity model was augmented with factors from both exporter’s and importer’s sides. The empirical results revealed that, excepting distance, the remained variables including Gross Domestic Product, population, income, exchange rate, production and price had statistical significance and correlated with the total export as hypothesized. Among these variables, price and production reported as the best predictors, explaining 81.30% and 80.54% variation in China’s total export, respectively. Moreover, the determinants of China’s rice export highly depended on the components of exporter side than that of importer sides. This study results provide the statistical and practical significance for trade policy formulation to promote China’s rice exports in world markets.

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“…In his research paper on gravity model analysis of Egypt's trade, El-Sayed in [13] emphasized that the intuitive gravity model is not free of difficulties once more advanced concepts from the trade literature are introduced. Considering the impact on trade between countries i and j of a change in trade costs between countries i and k. An example of such a change might be that countries i and k enter into a preferential trade agreement that lowers tariffs on their respective goods.…”

Section: Limitations Of the Modelmentioning

confidence: 99%

A Gravity Model Analysis for Trade between Cameroon and Twenty-Eight European Union Countries

Doumbe¹,

Belinga²

2015

JSS

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The purpose of this empirical analysis is to investigate, based on gravity model, Cameroon's bilateral trade flows with Twenty-Eight European Union countries signatories of the EU-Cameroon Free Trade Agreement (FTA) on the 15 th of January 2009. Though the said Agreement entry into force day was scheduled for the 4 th of August 2014, it is important to analyze the trade trends among these 29 countries. The research findings reveal that Cameroon's bilateral trade with European Union countries is affected positively by economic size and per capita GDP, and influenced negatively by the distance between the trading partners. The result of basic the gravity model reveals that the Product of two countries' GDPs has positive and significant impact on bilateral trade, indeed, a 1 percent point increase in product of the GDPs leads to increase in the bilateral trade volume of Cameroon with the concerned trade partners by 1.2808 percent and about the distance factor, 1 percent point increase in distance leads to decrease the bilateral trade volume of Cameroon by 2.0306 percent.

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The Factors Affecting Egypt’s Exports: Evidence from the Gravity Model Analysis

Cited by 27 publications

References 17 publications

A Gravity Model for Indonesian Canned Tuna Exports to the European Union Market: An Application of PPML Estimator

A Gravity Model for Indonesian Canned Tuna Exports to the European Union Market: An Application of PPML Estimator

Determinants of China’s Rice Export after WTO Accession: A Gravity Model Analysis

A Gravity Model Analysis for Trade between Cameroon and Twenty-Eight European Union Countries

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