2019
DOI: 10.31234/osf.io/45rth
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The False Promise of Sexiness: Perceived Importance, Interest, and Citation Patterns for Counterintuitive Research Findings

Abstract: Decisions about what research is pursued, funded, published, and reported on by the media are often based on what scientific results are perceived as important and interesting. Here, we study one potential cue that scientists and the public may use for evaluating scientific findings—their counterintuitiveness. Two studies establish that counterintuitive findings are perceived as more important and interesting, both by scientists and the public. However, even though judgments of importance predict citations in … Show more

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Cited by 3 publications
(2 citation statements)
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“…In a Bayesian context, surprising findings have greater evidential value, but assessing the surprisingness of evidence (P(E|B)) objectively is difficult given its dependence on the catch-all hypothesis (P(E|~T&B)), and overall surprisingness does not matter when two hypotheses are compared (Salmon 1990). Finally, historically, surprisingness and scientific importance differ (Stigler 1955;Johnson et al 2019).…”
Section: Resolving the Invariance Controversymentioning
confidence: 99%
“…In a Bayesian context, surprising findings have greater evidential value, but assessing the surprisingness of evidence (P(E|B)) objectively is difficult given its dependence on the catch-all hypothesis (P(E|~T&B)), and overall surprisingness does not matter when two hypotheses are compared (Salmon 1990). Finally, historically, surprisingness and scientific importance differ (Stigler 1955;Johnson et al 2019).…”
Section: Resolving the Invariance Controversymentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Scholars in other business disciplines including management (Barley, 2006; Das & Long, 2010), entrepreneurship (Landström & Harirchi, 2019), and family business research (Salvato & Aldrich, 2012) have also opined on the issue. While counterintuitive results are judged as more important and more interesting by academics and laypeople alike (Johnson et al, 2020) as well as by journal editors (cf. Goyanes, 2020), it is only one of many ways by which one might produce interesting research.…”
Section: That's Interesting!mentioning
confidence: 99%