Growing evidence indicates relationships between seabird demography and both largeand small-scale variation in climate and oceanography, yet few studies have examined multiple species and locations simultaneously. As secondary consumers, least, whiskered, and crested auklets (Aethia pusilla, A. pygmaea, and A. cristatella, respectively), congeneric planktivorous seabirds endemic to the Bering and Okhotsk seas, are expected to respond to changes in ocean climate due to their low trophic positioning. From 1990 to 2008, we measured reproductive success (productivity) and breeding phenology (mean hatching date) of auklets on Buldir, Kiska, and Kasatochi, 3 islands spanning 585 km across the Aleutian Islands, Alaska, USA. A model including Island, Species, and Winter Aleutian Low Pressure Index (ALPI) best explained productivity, with reproductive success decreasing among all species with increasing ALPI (β = -0.273 ± 0.0263 [SE]), likely through control of water temperature and prey (zooplankton) availability. Auklet productivity also increased with increasing winter sea surface temperature (SST) in the western North Pacific and western Bering Sea (and correspondingly decreased with increasing SST in the Gulf of Alaska), and was correlated negatively with spring sea-level air pressure in the North Pacific. These responses are reflective of positive values of the Aleutian low pressure system. Though our datasets cover only 19 yr or less, we found similar correlations between climate and auklet productivity among all species and islands. Together, our results suggest that ocean climatic conditions and reproductive success of planktivorous auklets are significantly related.KEY WORDS: Productivity · Oceanography · Demography · Aethia spp. · Least auklet · Crested auklet · Whiskered auklet · Aleutian Islands 424: 205-218, 2011 Pacific and Bering Sea, this shift resulted in greater climatic variability (Bond et al. 2003, Hunt & Elliott 2004, Rodionov et al. 2005, greater stratification of the water column, and increased primary productivity (Trenberth & Hurrell 1994, Iida & Saitoh 2007. Other purported ecosystem shifts have occurred in 1989-1990 and 1998-1999, but these putative shifts in system state have not been well documented (Overland et al. 1999, Hare & Mantua 2000, Mueter et al. 2007.
Resale or republication not permitted without written consent of the publisherMar Ecol Prog SerSeabirds, as conspicuous, generally unexploited, secondary and tertiary consumers in marine systems, provide a unique opportunity to investigate coupled climate-ecosystem variation (Durant et al. 2009). Indeed, the relationship between ocean climate, ranging from direct measures of SST to multivariate climate indices, e.g. Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) (Mantua & Hare 2002), and seabird breeding performance has been investigated frequently in the North Pacific (e.g. Gjerdrum et al. 2003, Abraham & Sydeman 2004) and elsewhere (e.g. Harris et al. 2005, Durant et al. 2006, Møller et al. 2006, Lavers et al. 2008, Jenouvrier et ...