The forest and agricultural sector optimization model (FASOM): model structure and policy applications.

Adams, Darius M.; Alig, Ralph J.; Callaway, J.M.; McCarl, Bruce A.; Winnett, Steven M.

doi:10.2737/pnw-rp-495

Cited by 142 publications

(97 citation statements)

References 29 publications

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“…USDA National Agricultural Statistics Service (USDA-NASS, 2009). Then, we multiply the crop mixes by the corresponding state average estimates for agricultural CH 4 and N 2 O emissions from the FASOMGHG model (Adams et al, 2005). Finally, weighted averages for the three MAV states are produced: − 6.00 MgCO 2 e/ha/5 years for CH 4 and − 3.17 MgCO 2 e/ha/5 years for N 2 O.…”

Section: Non-co 2 Ghg Emissionsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Valuing ecosystem services from wetlands restoration in the Mississippi Alluvial Valley

Jenkins

Murray

Kramer

et al. 2010

Ecological Economics

227

120

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This study assesses the value of restoring forested wetlands via the U.S. government's Wetlands Reserve Program (WRP) in the Mississippi Alluvial Valley by quantifying and monetizing ecosystem services. The three focal services are greenhouse gas (GHG) mitigation, nitrogen mitigation, and waterfowl recreation. Site-and region-level measurements of these ecosystem services are combined with process models to quantify their production on agricultural land, which serves as the baseline, and on restored wetlands. We adjust and transform these measures into per-hectare, valuation-ready units and monetize them with prices from emerging ecosystem markets and the environmental economics literature. By valuing three of the many ecosystem services produced, we generate lower bound estimates for the total ecosystem value of the wetlands restoration. Social welfare value is found to be between $1435 and $1486/ha/year, with GHG mitigation valued in the range of $171 to $222, nitrogen mitigation at $1248, and waterfowl recreation at $16. Limited to existing markets, the estimate for annual market value is merely $70/ha, but when fully accounting for potential markets, this estimate rises to $1035/ha. The estimated social value surpasses the public expenditure or social cost of wetlands restoration in only 1 year, indicating that the return on public investment is very attractive for the WRP. Moreover, the potential market value is substantially greater than landowner opportunity costs, showing that payments to private landowners to restore wetlands could also be profitable for individual landowners.

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Section: Non-co 2 Ghg Emissionsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Valuing ecosystem services from wetlands restoration in the Mississippi Alluvial Valley

Jenkins

Murray

Kramer

et al. 2010

Ecological Economics

227

120

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

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“…Once the relationship between land use choices and net returns is identified, a policy simulation is conducted to estimate the response by landowners to incentives for afforestation or avoided deforestation. The econometric approach has the 1 The model in Adams et al (1993) evolved into the Forest and Agricultural Sector Optimization Model (FASOM), which integrates the forest and agricultural sectors through competition for land (Adams et al 1996). potential to account for factors that affect land use decisions in practice but that are difficult to measure explicitly. These include option value related to holding land in its current use, as well as private nonmarket benefits (e.g., recreation) that landowners may derive from land in particular uses.…”

Section: Following Moulton and Richards Economists Have Provided A Nmentioning

confidence: 99%

New cost estimates for carbon sequestration through afforestation in the United States

Nielsen¹,

Plantinga²,

Alig³

2014

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If you wish to file a Civil Rights program complaint of discrimination, complete the USDA Program Discrimination Complaint Form (PDF), found online at http://www.ascr.usda.gov/ complaint_filing_cust.html, or at any USDA office, or call (866) 632-9992 to request the form. You may also write a letter containing all of the information requested in the form. Send your completed complaint form or letter to us by mail at U. This report provides new cost estimates for carbon sequestration through afforestation in the United States. We extend existing studies of carbon sequestration costs in several important ways, while ensuring the transparency of our approach. We clearly identify all components of our cost estimates so that other researchers can reconstruct our results as well as use our data for other purposes. Our cost estimates have five distinguishing features: (1) we estimate costs for each county in the contiguous United States; (2) we include afforestation of rangeland, in addition to cropland and pasture; (3) our opportunity cost estimates account for capitalized returns to future development (including associated option values) in addition to returns to agricultural production; (4) we develop a new set of forest establishment costs for each county; and (5) we incorporate data on Holdridge life zones to limit afforestation in locations where temperature and moisture availability prohibit forest growth. We find that at a carbon price of $50/ton, approximately 200 million tons of carbon would be sequestered annually through afforestation. At a price of $100/ton, an additional 100 million tons of carbon would be sequestered each year. Our estimates closely match those in earlier econometric studies for relatively low carbon prices, but diverge at higher carbon prices. Accounting for climatic constraints on forest expansion has important effects on cost estimates.

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“…The scenario followed the study by Jackson et al (2005). The regions of reforestation were modeled using the Forest and Agriculture Sector Optimization Model-Green House Gases (FASOMGHG) (Adams et al, 1996). The model converted 72 million hectares of non-irrigated agriculture and pasture lands to woody forests driven by carbon trading.…”

Section: Modeling Approach and Scenario Descriptionsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Future land use and land cover influences on regional biogenic emissions and air quality in the United States

Chen

Avise

Guenther

et al. 2009

Atmospheric Environment

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a b s t r a c t A regional modeling system was applied with inputs from global climate and chemistry models to quantify the effects of global change on future biogenic emissions and their impacts on ozone and biogenic secondary organic aerosols (BSOA) in the US. Biogenic emissions in the future are influenced by projected changes in global and regional climates and by variations in future land use and land cover (LULC). The modeling system was applied for five summer months for the present-day case (1990)(1991)(1992)(1993)(1994)(1995)(1996)(1997)(1998)(1999), Case 1) and three future cases covering 2045-2054. Individual future cases were: present-day LULC (Case 2); projected-future LULC (Case 3); and future LULC with designated regions of tree planting for carbon sequestration (Case 4). Results showed changing future meteorology with present-day LULC (Case 2) increased average isoprene and monoterpene emission rates by 26% and 20% due to higher temperature and solar insolation. However when LULC was changed together with climate (Case 3), predicted isoprene and monoterpene emissions decreased by 52% and 31%, respectively, due primarily to projected cropland expansion. The reduction was less, at 31% and 14% respectively, when future LULC changes were accompanied by regions of tree planting (Case 4). Despite the large decrease in biogenic emission, future average daily maximum 8-h (DM8H) ozone was found to increase between þ8 ppbv and þ10 ppbv due to high future anthropogenic emissions and global chemistry conditions. Among the future cases, changing LULC resulted in spatially varying future ozone differences of À5 ppbv to þ5 ppbv when compared with present-day case. Future BSOA changed directly with the estimated monoterpene emissions. BSOA increased by 8% with current LULC (Case 2) but decreased by 45%-28% due to future LULC changes. Overall, the results demonstrated that on a regional basis, changes in LULC can offset temperature driven increases in biogenic emissions, and, thus, LULC projection is an important factor to consider in the study of future regional air quality.

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The forest and agricultural sector optimization model (FASOM): model structure and policy applications.

Cited by 142 publications

References 29 publications

Valuing ecosystem services from wetlands restoration in the Mississippi Alluvial Valley

Valuing ecosystem services from wetlands restoration in the Mississippi Alluvial Valley

New cost estimates for carbon sequestration through afforestation in the United States

Future land use and land cover influences on regional biogenic emissions and air quality in the United States

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