The Fort Hood Avian Simulation Model-V: A Spatially Explicit Population Viability Model for Two Endangered Species

Shapiro, Ann-Marie; Harper, Steven J.; Westervelt, James D.

doi:10.1007/0-387-21555-7_9

Cited by 3 publications

(1 citation statement)

References 4 publications

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“…This methodology has typically been applied to situations involving relatively continuous information or matter flows throughout a landscape. Such specific applications have included overland surface water flow (Voinov et al 1998;Alexey et al 1999), biomass and nutrient distribution (Costanza et al 1988;Sklar et al 1985), and large mammal movement Shapiro et al 2004). Applications can also extend to non-contiguous movement patterns such as urban sprawl (BenDor et al 2005b;Deal and Schunk 2004).…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

The spatial dynamics of invasive species spread

BenDor

Metcalf

2006

System Dynamics Review

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The problem of invasive species spread requires timely analysis of the biological dynamics that lead to spatial dispersion. Here, a spatial dynamic model captures the invasive behavior of the recently introduced emerald ash borer (EAB) (Agrilus planipennis) and its impacts on host ash (Fraxinus spp.) trees. Parasite-host system dynamics are extended spatially using the Spatial Modeling Environment. The resulting model can serve as a repository for changing knowledge about EAB biology and behavior. Studies of the rapid EAB infestation in Michigan are used to inform simulations of its spread in DuPage County, Illinois, USA. We use a geographic information system to create heterogeneous host landscapes and to test alternative policy scenarios. We test the effectiveness of three suppression scenarios: the Michigan eradication strategy, firewood quarantines, and ash tree thinning. Simulations demonstrate that EAB spatial spread accelerates with degraded host capacity, with results pointing to firewood quarantines as the most effective solution.

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