The Foundations of Epistemic Decision Theory

Abstract

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The Systemic Concept of Contextual Truth

“…It consists in looking for inspirations to enlighten the problem from new perspectives. The studies conducted "from the point of view of a systematic and general theory of rational goal-setting which has its roots in management science" (Olsson 2017), in particular in the context of decision making (Babic 2019;Konek and Levinstein 2017;Levinstein 2017), can be put as examples of such approach. The way in which the problem is considered in this paper is based on the idea worked out in systems theory and lies in the aforementioned stream of the studies.…”

Epistemic utility theory’s difficult future

“…For more on trade-off cases, see: Berker (2013a), (2013b), Caie (2013), Firth (1981), and Jenkins (2007. 11 For more this solution, see Konek and Levinstein (2019). 12 The evidence-disrespecting credal state in Imps is the one consisting of a credence of 0 in the proposition that there is now a child before her and a credence of 1 in the other five propositions.…”

“…See Greaves (2013), p. 8 for this "definitional" response. For more on this worry concerning teleological theories of epistemic rationality, see: Arpaly (Ms.), Horowitz (forthcoming), p. 137, and also Konek and Levinstein (2019), p. 17.…”

Probabilism, entropies and strictly proper scoring rules

“…Using X-strict propriety to obtain the strict inequality in (27) we find for all Bel ∈ X \ {P ‡ } sup P ∈E S L (P , Bel) ≥ S L (P ‡ , Bel) (26) > S L (P ‡ , P ‡ ) . (27) Recall that inf Bel∈X sup P ∈E S L (P , Bel) equals S L (P ‡ , P ‡ ).…”

“…(27) Recall that inf Bel∈X sup P ∈E S L (P , Bel) equals S L (P ‡ , P ‡ ). Thus, no Bel ∈ X \ {P ‡ } minimises sup P ∈E S L (P , Bel).…”