The future climate characteristics of the Carpathian Basin based on a regional climate model mini-ensemble

Krüzselyi, Ilona; Bartholy, Judit; Horányi, Ándrás; Pieczka, Ildikó; Pongrácz, Rita; Szabó, Péter; Szépszó, Gabriella; Torma, Cs.

doi:10.5194/asr-6-69-2011

Cited by 32 publications

(18 citation statements)

References 7 publications

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“…Nowadays this latter one is the most significant factor from all of them. The climate change of the Carpathian Basin is well reported in international and domestic scientific literature (Bartholy et al 2008;Krüzselyi et al 2011;EEA 2004). Investigation of climate change is based on the interpretation of international climate models in Hungary.…”

Section: Hungarian Overviewmentioning

confidence: 89%

Homokhátság - a special rural area affected by aridification in the Carpathian basin, Hungary

Kovács

Hoyk

Farkas

2017

European Countryside

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Abstract:In Hungary, the aridification primarily affects the Great Hungarian Plain, most specifically the "Homokhátság" area which is part of the Danube-Tisza Interfluve. On the basis of our experience gained in the past 15 years, we would like to give an insight into the complex problems of this rural region. Our starting point is the aridification process and water scarcity which are characteristic features of this area for the last century. We investigate the related problems in land use management such as unfavourable land use and vegetation changes and the challenges in the local economy and social sustainability. In this respect we introduce the emerging issues in agriculture, forestry and nature conservation which may be relevant in European context too. We have discovered specific factors related to the devaluation of the rural environment and found that significant part of the unfavourable phenomena can be explained by the combined effect of climatic changes, improper land use and inappropriate environmental management. Based on our findings we outline a possible regional pathway for a sustainable rural development.Keywords: Danube-Tisza interfluve, land use change, climate change, unpredictable water balance, complex rural problems, rural development Absztrakt: Magyarországon a szárazodás hatásai az Alföldön, és azon belül is leginkább a Duna-Tisza közi Homokhátságon érzékelhetők. Tanulmányunkban − az elmúlt másfél évtizedben szerzett kutatási tapasztalatainkra építve − szeretnénk betekintést adni e rurális térség komplex problémakörébe. A szárazodás és a vízhiány hosszú évtizedek óta a legismertebb jelenségek a térségben. Ugyanakkor érdemes szemügyre venni más kedvezőtlen folyamatokat is, pl. a tájdegradációs, területhasználati és vegetációs változásokat, amelyek egyre nagyobb kihívást jelentenek a térségben élők számára. Ebben a vonatkozásban vesszük górcső alá a mezőgazdaság, erdőgazdálkodás és természetvédelem egyes releváns kérdéseit, amelyek akár európai összehasonlításban is fontosak lehetnek. Olyan speciális tényezőket mutatunk be, amelyek az érintett térségben jól demonstrálják a környezeti-és klimatikus változások, valamint az átgondolatlan tájhasználat és környezetgazdálkodás következményeit. Mindezek mellett, reményeink szerint az elvégzett vizsgálatok, jól hasznosítható támpontokat nyújthatnak a fenntartható vidékfejlesztés számára is.

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Section: Hungarian Overviewmentioning

confidence: 89%

Homokhátság - a special rural area affected by aridification in the Carpathian basin, Hungary

Kovács

Hoyk

Farkas

2017

European Countryside

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“…As the temperature increase expected in Hungary (Krüzselyi et al 2011) may considerably exceed the global rate of warming (Bartholy et al 2009b;Pieczka et al 2010), future advancement of spring flowering is to be expected. Further understanding of the relationship between plant phenologies and climate in Central and Eastern Europe may be gained from future studies on more species and phenophases.…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Flowering phenological changes in relation to climate change in Hungary

2016

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The importance of long-term plant phenological time series is growing in monitoring of climate change impacts worldwide. To detect trends and assess possible influences of climate in Hungary, we studied flowering phenological records for six species (Convallaria majalis, Taraxacum officinale, Syringa vulgaris, Sambucus nigra, Robinia pseudoacacia, Tilia cordata) based on phenological observations from the Hungarian Meteorological Service recorded between 1952 and 2000. Altogether, four from the six examined plant species showed significant advancement in flowering onset with an average rate of 1.9-4.4 days per decade. We found that it was the mean temperature of the 2-3 months immediately preceding the mean flowering date, which most prominently influenced its timing. In addition, several species were affected by the late winter (January-March) values of the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) index. We also detected sporadic long-term effects for all species, where climatic variables from earlier months exerted influence with varying sign and little recognizable pattern: the temperature/NAO of the previous autumn (August-December) seems to influence Convallaria, and the temperature/precipitation of the previous spring (February-April) has some effect on Tilia flowering.

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“…Rylková et al, 2013). In the case of wetlands, this process will likely be facilitated by global climate change, since longer dry periods have been predicted for the region (Krüzselyi et al, 2011).…”

Section: G Modelmentioning

confidence: 99%

Desiccation frequency drives local invasions of non-native gibel carp (Carassius gibelio) in the catchment of a large, shallow lake (Lake Balaton, Hungary)

et al. 2016

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Please cite this article in press as: Ferincz, Á., et al., Desiccation frequency drives local invasions of non-native gibel carp (Carassius gibelio) in the catchment of a large, shallow lake (Lake Balaton, Hungary a b s t r a c tAlthough the problem of non-indigenous species and biological invasions has been widely discussed, knowledge is still limited on their prevention and elimination for the successful management of this problem.In this study, we tested relationships between fish community composition, local environmental parameters and habitat management practice in 11 lentic habitats in the catchment of Lake Balaton (Hungary). The frequency of desiccation events (related to fish pond management) proved to be highly important in increasing the dominance of non-indigenous Carassius gibelio. We suggest that high frequency of desiccation events and the robustness of this species (tolerance to low oxygen levels, gynogenetic reproduction) can contribute to local invasion cycles in wetlands and fish ponds resulting in their continuously high abundance. Our study suggests that ensuring more controlled and stable water level in these habitats can be a successful tool to manage C. gibelio invasions.

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The future climate characteristics of the Carpathian Basin based on a regional climate model mini-ensemble

Cited by 32 publications

References 7 publications

Homokhátság - a special rural area affected by aridification in the Carpathian basin, Hungary

Homokhátság - a special rural area affected by aridification in the Carpathian basin, Hungary

Flowering phenological changes in relation to climate change in Hungary

Desiccation frequency drives local invasions of non-native gibel carp (Carassius gibelio) in the catchment of a large, shallow lake (Lake Balaton, Hungary)

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