Genetically modified (GM) strains now exist for many organisms, producing significant promise for agricultural production. However, if these organisms have some fitness advantage, they may also pose an environmental harm when released. High mating success of GM males relative to WT males provides such an important fitness advantage. Here, we provide documentation that GM male medaka fish modified with salmon growth hormone possess an overwhelming mating advantage. GM medaka offspring possess a survival disadvantage relative to WT, however. When both of these fitness components are included in our model, the transgene is predicted to spread if GM individuals enter wild populations (because of the mating advantage) and ultimately lead to population extinction (because of the viability disadvantage). Mating trials indicate that WT males use alternative mating tactics in an effort to counter the mating advantage of GM males, and we use genetic markers to ascertain the success of these alternative strategies. Finally, we model the impact of alternative mating tactics by WT males on transgene spread. Such tactics may reduce the rate of transgene spread, but not the outcome.genetically modified organism ͉ alternative mating tactics ͉ sperm competition ͉ medaka T he production of genetically modified (GM) organisms (GMOs) continues at a rapid pace, prompting concerns about undesirable ecological consequences if these organisms enter natural communities (1-3). Based on six major components of an organism's fitness (i.e., juvenile viability, adult viability, age at sexual maturity, female fecundity, male fertility, and male mating advantage), we have recently provided a framework to predict possible risks of ecological harm associated with the spread of transgenes after a GMO release. One risk, extinction, results in the local elimination of conspecific populations (both WT and GM individuals); the other risk, invasion, involves ecosystem disruption as GM individuals replace their WT counterparts (4, 5).Harm to wild populations resulting from either extinction or invasion risk requires that transgenes of GMOs can spread in nature, which in turn requires that GMOs have an advantage over their WT counterparts in at least one fitness component. An extinction risk is predicted when a transgene produces conflicting effects on different fitness components. As a result of an advantage in one component, GMOs replace WT genotypes in a naturally occurring population of conspecifics, whereas a disadvantage in another fitness component reduces population size, ultimately resulting in population extinction. We refer to this scenario as a Trojan gene effect (4, 5).One scenario in which opposing pleiotropic effects of transgenes are predicted to produce a Trojan gene effect is when GM males have a mating advantage relative to WT males, but the GM offspring they produce have reduced viability relative to WT offspring (4, 5). The predicted extinction outcome resulting from these opposing effects has recently been confirmed with a determin...