Little is still known about how climate policy initiatives intersect with national level development agendas; the winners, losers and potential trade-offs between different goals, and the political and institutional factors which enable or inhibit integration across different policy areas. This paper addresses this gap by applying a political economic analysis to case studies on low carbon energy in Kenya and carbon forestry in Mozambique. In examining the intersection of climate and development policy, we demonstrate the critical importance of politics, power and interests when climate-motivated initiatives hit wider and more complex national policy contexts, ultimately determining the prospects of achieving integrated climate policy and development goals in practice. We advance the following arguments: (1) the importance of understanding both the informal nature and historical embeddedness of decision making around key issue areas and resource sectors of relevance to climate change policy; (2) The need to understand and engage with the interests, power relations and policy networks that will shape the prospects of realising climate policy goals; (3) the ways in which common global drivers have very different impacts upon national level climate change debates once refracted through national levels institutions and policy processes, and (4) how climate change and development outcomes, and the associated trade-offs, may look very different depending on how it is framed, who frames it, and in which actor coalitions.
IntroductionThe need for climate policy goals to be integrated with development goals in developing countries is undisputed (REF). A number of developing countries now have strategies for development and climate change, under the banners of 'climate resilient development', 'climate compatible development' or similar concepts, which sets out goals, envisaged synergies across mitigation, adaptation and development, and implementation strategies (REF). There is also a limited, but growing body of literature that examines how various climate policy initiatives are implemented, as well as potential synergies and trade-offs between the different goals (Stringer et al. 2014; Suckall et al. 2013; Shames et al. 2013).What is less clear, however, is whether and how climate change and development benefits will materialise in the real world, including the processes whereby decisions are made, by whom, and who wins and who loses from various initiatives and actions to promote integration. Despite an emerging recognition that 'politics matter' in adaptation and mitigation policy at national and subnational levels in developing countries (e.g., Dodman and Mitlin, 2014; Nightingale et al., this issue), there is as yet little analysis of how, when, why and for whom they matter in particular settings. As noted by Lockwood (2013), the academic and policy debates on climate policy goals, such as those associated with 'triple wins' (REF), have little meaning unless they are analysed in relation to the politica...