2019
DOI: 10.1029/2019gl083525
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The Groundwater Recovery Paradox in South India

Abstract: Reported groundwater recovery in South India has been attributed to both increasing rainfall and political interventions. Findings of increasing groundwater levels, however, are at odds with reports of well failure and decreases in the land area irrigated from shallow wells. We argue that recently reported results are skewed by the problem of survivor bias, with dry or defunct wells being systematically excluded from trend analyses due to missing data. We hypothesize that these dry wells carry critical informa… Show more

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Cited by 46 publications
(52 citation statements)
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“…The development of affordable drilling enabled groundwater to play a fundamental role in the Indian green revolution (Shah et al 2003) and by 2010 groundwater abstraction was estimated to comprise more than 60% of all irrigation (World Bank 2010). The sustainability of abstraction and its impact on surface water is contested in Indian crystalline-rock aquifers: there is some evidence from groundwater monitoring boreholes and satellite measurement of Earth's gravity that groundwater levels are not declining (Tiwari et al 2011) or that they are declining in only 22-36% of wells (Sishodia et al 2016), but others caution unintentional bias in monitoring (Hora et al 2019). Notwithstanding, there is considerable evidence of problems in individual catchments with falling groundwater levels and periodic loss of groundwater baseflow to rivers (e.g.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The development of affordable drilling enabled groundwater to play a fundamental role in the Indian green revolution (Shah et al 2003) and by 2010 groundwater abstraction was estimated to comprise more than 60% of all irrigation (World Bank 2010). The sustainability of abstraction and its impact on surface water is contested in Indian crystalline-rock aquifers: there is some evidence from groundwater monitoring boreholes and satellite measurement of Earth's gravity that groundwater levels are not declining (Tiwari et al 2011) or that they are declining in only 22-36% of wells (Sishodia et al 2016), but others caution unintentional bias in monitoring (Hora et al 2019). Notwithstanding, there is considerable evidence of problems in individual catchments with falling groundwater levels and periodic loss of groundwater baseflow to rivers (e.g.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Although the presence and subsequent loss of a shallow water table seems likely given the prevalence of groundwater irrigated agriculture in the watershed, direct observations of historical groundwater are not possible. Publicly available groundwater data are biased towards observation wells in which the water level can be observed (i.e., wells that are not dry), meaning that wells that dry out over time are excluded from the record (Hora et al, ). Satellite observations from the GRACE mission are equally ineffective in the TG Halli, both because the GRACE data require an excessively large smoothing filter on the order of 300 km (Zhang, Chao, Lu, & Hsu, ) and the GRACE satellite record began in 2002 after much of the drying in the TG Halli had occurred (Tapley, Bettadpur, Watkins, & Reigber, ).…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Long‐term groundwater level observations in the TG Halli watershed were either unavailable or unreliable (e.g., see Ballukraya & Srinivasan, ; Hora, Srinivasan, & Basu, ). To assess shallow groundwater levels in the study watersheds, we surveyed 99 shallow open wells during the 2014 monsoon season (for locations, see Figure S1).…”
Section: Methodsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…It is noted that the ensemble mean SMS from four land surface models (VIC, CLM, NOAH, MOSAIC) of NASA's Global Land Data Assimilation System (GLDAS) (Rodell et al, 2004) is a more dynamic component than SWS and SNS (from the same GLDAS models) for the whole region and sub‐regions of northern India (see supporting information Figure S1). For consistency with the previous studies in India (e.g., Asoka et al, 2017; Hora et al, 2019; Panda & Wahr, 2016), we, however, use the GRACE TWS from CSR, particularly the Mascon (version RL05) gravity solutions that are parameterised with regional mass concentration ‘mascon’ functions to reduce leakage errors (Save et al, 2016). As such, relative to the traditional spherical harmonics solutions, the mascon product has been found effective at water management or river basin scales (Castellazzi et al, 2016).…”
Section: Methodsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…GRACE measurements have provided useful information about the large-scale depletions in northern India. However, estimates show varying trends in GWS because of differences in study area, time period, well types (shallow vs. deep) and variations in GRACE data-processing strategies (Hora et al, 2019;Long et al, 2016;Panda & Wahr, 2016;Rodell et al, 2009;Tiwari et al, 2009). Indeed, highly localised and spatially non-uniform nature of groundwater storage (Gleeson et al, 2012;Scanlon et al, 2012) underscores the importance of in-situ measurements for precise assessment and validation of GRACE data at scales that are suitable for water resources management and policy development (Castellazzi et al, 2016).…”
mentioning
confidence: 99%