2019
DOI: 10.1177/1477370819850103
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The heterogeneous repercussions of killing Osama bin Laden on global terrorism patterns

Abstract: The United States has adopted the targeted killing of high-ranking members of terrorist organizations to disrupt terrorist networks and exert general deterrence. The most salient of these killings occurred on 2 May 2011, when US Navy Seals killed Osama bin Laden in Pakistan.Although general deterrence suggests this should result in decreased subsequent terrorism, highprofile targeted killings can also result in increased terrorist violence through backlash. This study uses dual trajectory analysis to examine t… Show more

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Cited by 9 publications
(15 citation statements)
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References 55 publications
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“…As has been reported elsewhere in the literature (e.g. Fisher and Becker 2019;LaFree et al 2009LaFree et al , 2010 changes within global terrorism trajectories are not monotonic across all nations-a finding replicated here. Simply put, it should not be expected that the relationships described here are consistent across time and space.…”
Section: Discussionsupporting
confidence: 88%
See 1 more Smart Citation
“…As has been reported elsewhere in the literature (e.g. Fisher and Becker 2019;LaFree et al 2009LaFree et al , 2010 changes within global terrorism trajectories are not monotonic across all nations-a finding replicated here. Simply put, it should not be expected that the relationships described here are consistent across time and space.…”
Section: Discussionsupporting
confidence: 88%
“…Likewise, for non-firearm terrorism, 36 out of the 140 nations (25.71 percent) saw a growth between 2015 and 2016, and 51 countries (36.43 percent) had more non-firearm terror attacks in 2017 compared to 2016. As such, it is important to note that this variation and divergence within global terrorism trajectories has been observed in other time periods (see Fisher and Becker 2019; LaFree, Morris, and Dugan 2010; LaFree, Yang, and Crenshaw 2009), suggesting that despite the overall downward trend, the patterns and incidence of terrorism during this time is not idiosyncratic to the time period examined in this study.…”
Section: Resultssupporting
confidence: 62%
“…In doing so, the infrequency of terrorism incidence has also driven the development of rare event models and questioned whether the absence of terrorist attacks necessarily demonstrates successful prevention (Lynch 2011). Flowing into developing criminological understanding of desistence (Dugan et al 2008;Fisher 2021;Hasisi et al 2020a;Hodwitz 2019;McCauley 2008;Miller 2016), the evaluation of criminal justice policy (Braithewaite 2005;LaFree and Hendrickson 2007;Zedner 2008), and crime prevention initiatives (Bjørgo 2016;Freilich, Gruenewald, and Mandala 2019), there is evidence to support the claim that "mainstream criminology has been enriched by widening its scope to include political extremism" (LaFree 2021: 1).…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Given that the divergent findings from these two preceding ecological studies may be attributed to variations in their analytical approaches (Bejan & Parkin, 2015; Fisher & Becker, 2019), the present study incorporates some of the key methodological features used in the aforementioned two studies to bring forth an empirical examination of dynamic relationships between state repression and terrorism in Israel. Specifically, our analytical models account for reciprocal effects, different tactical terms in Israel, and various kinds of government repression.…”
mentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Specifically, our analytical models account for reciprocal effects, different tactical terms in Israel, and various kinds of government repression. To complement the recent analyses of the GATE‐Israel data and address the importance of assessing the impacts of government counterterrorism policies with different analytical methods and assumptions (Fisher & Becker, 2019; Forst, 2017), data transformations, generalized impulse response functions, and sampling distributions generated by Monte Carlo methods are also performed in the main and online supplementary analyses of the current study.…”
mentioning
confidence: 99%