The Impact of Climate Change on the Middle East

Al‐Sarihi, Aisha; Asi, Yara M.; Tamanini, Jeremy; Moran, Jim

doi:10.1111/mepo.12555

Cited by 3 publications

(2 citation statements)

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“…The results show that higher volatility in temperature has a higher adverse effect on fiscal balance and debt. This reflects the impact of extreme weather events and natural disasters caused by climate change in the short-run period, such as heatwaves, droughts, wildfires, floods, sand and dust storms in the MENA region countries (World Bank, 2019;Al-Sarihi et al, 2021). Approximately 58 percent of monthly average temperature observations exceed the average value of 21 °C.…”

Section: Impact Of Temperature and Rainfall On Fiscal Balance And Pub...mentioning

confidence: 99%

The impact of climate change on budget balances and debt in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region

Giovanis

Özdamar²

2022

Climatic Change

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Lower tax revenues and greater government spending result in higher deficits and public debt. As a result, determining the degree of budgetary effects is vital, but important to assess the persistence of these effects. We aim to investigate the impact of climate change on the fiscal balance and public debt in the countries of the Middle East and North Africa. The empirical analysis relies on panel data in the period 1990-2019 and employs various models. The findings show that temperature changes adversely affect the government budget and increase debt, but we find no significant impact of changes in rainfall. The average temperature decreases fiscal balance by 0.3 percent and increases debt by 1.87 percent. Using projections of temperature and rainfall over the years 2020 to 2099, we find a significant decrease in the fiscal balance at 7.3 percent and an increase in the public debt at 16 percent in 2060-2079 and 18 percent in 2080-2099 under the assumption of a high greenhouse gas (GHG) emission scenario. On the contrary, under the low GHG emission scenario, the fiscal balance deteriorates by 1.

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Section: Impact Of Temperature and Rainfall On Fiscal Balance And Pub...mentioning

confidence: 99%

The impact of climate change on budget balances and debt in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region

Giovanis

Özdamar²

2022

Climatic Change

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“…Moreover, there are concerted efforts going on with regards to the planning and policy front, in accordance with the Kingdom's efforts toward economic sustainability and diversification. Such an economic agenda, vis-à-vis, climate change mitigation, is highly instrumental in creating a window of opportunity to address the pressing issues of climate change vulnerability, coping capacity, and livelihood sustenance with potential co-benefits for economic resilience, political stability, employment generation, public health, and energy security [56].…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Dynamics and Determinants of Farmers’ Perceptions about Causes and Impacts of Climate Change on Agriculture in Saudi Arabia: Implications for Adaptation, Mitigation, and Sustainability

et al. 2023

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Concerns over the potential harmful impacts of changing climate are strongly echoing around the globe. With its wide range of hazards to human societies, climate change is posing serious threats to human survival and impacting every aspect of human life, including food production systems. It is, therefore, imperative to gauge the local knowledge, perceptions, and adaptation capacity for the effective mitigation of the ill impacts of climate change. In this backdrop, the present study has been designed to investigate the perceptions of farmers regarding causes and impacts of climate change on agriculture. Required data were collected from the Madinah region in Saudi Arabia and analyzed to answer the following study questions: How do farmers perceive impacts of climate change? What factors affect their perceived impacts of climate change? Additionally, what factors affect their perception about the causes of climate change? Individual logit models were used to assess the impacts of various factors on perceived causes and perceived impacts of climate change on agriculture. A multinomial logit model was also employed to figure out significant determinants of perceived causes of climate change on agriculture. Results indicated that the most dominant perceived impacts of climate change are its effects on crop production, followed by drying water sources. The results also revealed that the age of the farmers had a positive effect on their perception of natural processes being the cause of climate change. Similarly, farming experience had an inverse effect on their perceptions regarding causes of climate change. The majority of the farmers seemed clear about the possible drivers of climate change in the country. In particular, about 79 percent of the farmers believed that GHGs and pollution are causing climate change in the country. The findings provide useful insights into farmers’ perceptions about causes and impacts of climate change and may be used by policymakers to strategically design extension and agricultural development initiatives for helping the farmers to implement sustainable agricultural practices to adapt to and lower the adverse impacts of climate change in the Kingdom.

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From petrodollars to green power: Fiscal stability and green transition in GCC economies

Alnafrah,

Mouselli

2024

Journal of Environmental Management

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The Impact of Climate Change on the Middle East

Cited by 3 publications

References 0 publications

The impact of climate change on budget balances and debt in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region

The impact of climate change on budget balances and debt in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region

Dynamics and Determinants of Farmers’ Perceptions about Causes and Impacts of Climate Change on Agriculture in Saudi Arabia: Implications for Adaptation, Mitigation, and Sustainability

From petrodollars to green power: Fiscal stability and green transition in GCC economies

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