The impact of climate change on the Australian sugarcane industry

Linnenluecke, Martina K.; Zhou, Qing; Smith, Tom W.; Thompson, Nicole; Nucifora, Natalie

doi:10.1016/j.jclepro.2019.118974

Cited by 30 publications

(27 citation statements)

References 21 publications

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“…Similarly, Sonkar et al (2019) report a 3%–15% decrease in stalk fresh mass and sucrose mass in response to a 1°C–4°C warming in Northern India using the Canegro‐sugarcane model (though the effect was negated by higher atmospheric CO 2 ). Furthermore, Linnenluecke et al (2020) use historical data to show the negative effect of mean daily maximum temperature increases on sugarcane output across Australia's main sugar growing regions.…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

The impact of climate change and climate extremes on sugarcane production

et al. 2021

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Sugarcane production supports the livelihoods of millions of small‐scale farmers in developing countries, and the bioenergy needs of millions of consumers. Yet, future sugarcane yields remain uncertain due to differences in climate projections, and because the sensitivity of sugarcane ecophysiology to individual climate drivers (i.e. temperature, precipitation, shortwave radiation, VPD and CO2) and their interactions is largely unresolved. Here we ask: how sensitive is sugarcane yield to future climate change, including climate extremes, and what are its key climate drivers? We combine the Soil‐Plant‐Atmosphere model with detailed time‐series measurements from experimental plots in Guangxi, China, and São Paulo State, Brazil. We first calibrated and validated modelled carbon and water cycling against field flux and biometric data. Second, we simulated sugarcane growth under the historical climate (1980–2018), and six future climate projections (2015–2100). We computed the ‘yield‐effect’ of each climate driver by generating synthetic climate forcings in which the driver time series was alternated to that of the historical median. In Guangxi, median yield and yield lows (i.e. lower decile) were relatively insensitive to forecast climate change. In São Paulo, median yield and yield lows decreased under all future climates projections (truex¯ = −4% and −12% respectively). At Guangxi, where moisture stress was low, radiation was the principal driver of yield variability (yield‐effect truex¯ = −1.2%). Conversely, high moisture stress at São Paulo raised yield sensitivity to temperature (yield‐effect truex¯ = −7.9%). In contrast, a number of other modelling studies report a positive effect of increased temperatures on sugarcane yield. We ascribe the disparity between model predictions to the representation of key phenological processes, including the link between leaf ageing and thermal time, and the role of ageing in driving leaf senescence. We highlight climate sensitivity of phenological processes as a key focus for future research efforts.

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Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

The impact of climate change and climate extremes on sugarcane production

et al. 2021

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“…Besides, our findings highlight the significant negative effects of maximum temperatures on the production of grain crops, thus focusing on future research into the full range of climate change risks to agricultural production especially includes the effects of minimum and high temperatures and temperature differences. Industry-owned research organizations or industries have begun to look for adaptation approaches and methods, but there are significant opportunities for improvement in future research for farming practices (Sacchelli et al 2017;Linnenluecke et al 2019). This comprises the further advance practices such as to manage the amplified climate inconsistency through efficient forecasting of the season and more accuracy of irrigation to develop on features such as starting dates of harvesting (Osborne et al 2007;Rötter et al 2012;Sacks et al 2010).…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Climate change impact assessment on Northeast China’s grain production

Fan

2020

Environ Sci Pollut Res

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The international community is paying more attention to climate change because a consensus has been reached that climate change has an adverse effect not only on the environment but also on agriculture. Therefore, in this study, present and future climate datasets (obtained from general circulation models) including atmospheric carbon concentration were used to assess the impact of climate change on grain production for an important base of China (Northeast). An empirical model has been developed using climate and other additional variables (effective irrigation area, fertilizer, and labor force) to assess the effect of climate change on grain production. The results revealed that maximum temperature is a key climate determinant in grain production of the study area. Atmospheric carbon concentration showed a significant impact on grain outputs in most of the cases. During the analysis, it was observed that precipitation displayed a declining trend while an effective irrigation area showed positive nonsignificant contribution to grain production. Analysis based on different representative concentration pathways exhibited that maximum temperature may contribute negatively to grain production in the future. Overall, the analysis showed that climate change has a significant contribution to grain production. In conclusion, the implications for future research and policymakers have been addressed. Particularly, the importance of considering regional differences in adaptation planning in agricultural regions was also considered.

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“…Os estudos da área de gestão empresarial envolvem diferentes aspectos das mudanças climáticas, como riscos, oportunidades, barreiras, estratégias de enfrentamento, entretanto, ainda parece haver uma carência no âmbito da gestão estratégica das empresas e em relação a capacidade de influenciar o desempenho das empresas. Há alguns esforços para identificar os impactos das mudanças climáticas em setores de commodities (Chen, Chen & Xu, 2016;Stuecker, Tigchelaar & Kantar, 2018;Linnenluecke et al, 2020) e em processos industriais e empresariais (Gasbarro, Iraldo & Daddi, 2017;CNI, 2015), os quais permitem inferir um impacto significativo das mudanças climáticas na produção e no desempenho.…”

Section: Introductionunclassified

Climate Change Mitigation Practices And Business Performance In Brazilian Industrial Companies

Perlin

Gomes

Zaluski

et al. 2022

RGSA

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Objetivo: Analisar a relação entre as práticas de mitigação às mudanças climáticas e o desempenho das empresas industriais brasileiras. Referencial teórico: Conforme Felgenhauer e Webster (2013) a mitigação é uma redução de emissão dos gases de efeito estufa. A adoção de práticas sustentáveis no âmbito das mudanças climáticas pode influenciar sua posição no mercado, por meio da reputação empresarial e a legitimidade do mercado (BRAMMER & PAVELIN, 2006). Método: O estudo se caracteriza como exploratório e descritivo, possui uma etapa qualitativa e uma quantitativa por meio de um e-survey com 39 empresas brasileiras do setor industrial. Adotou-se como variáveis independentes as práticas de mitigação e como variáveis dependentes os desempenhos: financeiro, inovador, de produção, de mercado e exportador. Resultados e conclusão: Identificou-se relações existentes entre as práticas de mitigação e diferentes dimensões do desempenho empresarial, principalmente no que tange a inovação. Ainda há evidências de que ações para controlar emissões de gases de efeito estufa podem levar a ganhos financeiros, de imagem e de produtividade. Implicações da pesquisa: A compreensão das práticas de mitigação adotadas pelas indústrias contribui para a divulgação e a propagação das mesmas, podendo proporcionar uma base para as demais empresas. Além disso, o entendimento da relevância e dos benefícios da adoção dessas práticas favorece a atenuação dos impactos socioambientais para a sociedade. Originalidade/valor: O desenvolvimento de um modelo integrando práticas de mitigação e o desempenho empresarial pode ser considerado um aporte teórico, visto que na literatura são encontradas iniciativas que tratam as temáticas de forma unilateral.

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The impact of climate change on the Australian sugarcane industry

Cited by 30 publications

References 21 publications

The impact of climate change and climate extremes on sugarcane production

The impact of climate change and climate extremes on sugarcane production

Climate change impact assessment on Northeast China’s grain production

Climate Change Mitigation Practices And Business Performance In Brazilian Industrial Companies

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