The impact of climate variability on dengue fever risk in central java, Indonesia

Wibawa, Bima Sakti Satria; Wang, Yu-Chun; Andhikaputra, Gerry; Lin, Yu-Kai; Hsieh, Lin-Han Chiang; Tsai, Kun-Hsien

doi:10.1016/j.cliser.2023.100433

Cited by 4 publications

(1 citation statement)

References 56 publications

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“…Dengue incidence is influenced by climate variables, particularly with temperature and rainfall, due to mosquito life cycle and human behaviour changes, resulting in increased transmission risk (Bhatt et al, 2013; Campbell et al, 2015; Colón-González et al, 2021; Lee et al, 2021; Lowe et al, 2021; Suaya et al, 2009; Wibawa et al, 2024). A systematic review and meta-analysis published in 2023 pooled 106 studies evaluating the association between high temperature and heatwaves with dengue incidence (Damtew et al, 2023).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Ambient Temperature and Dengue Hospitalisation in Brazil: A 10-year period two-stage case-design time series analysis

Silva

Basagaña

Bastos

et al. 2022

Preprint

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Background: Climate factors are known to influence seasonal patterns of dengue transmission However, little is known about the effect of extreme heat on the severity of dengue infection, such as hospital admission. We aimed to quantify the effect of ambient temperature on dengue hospitalisation risk in Brazil Methods: We retrieved daily dengue hospitalisation counts by each of 5,570 municipalities across the 27 states of Brazil from 1st of January 2010 to 31st of December 2019, from the Brazilian Public Hospital Admission System (SIH). We obtained average daily ambient temperature for each municipality from the ERA5-land product reanalysis. We combined distributed lag non-linear models with time stratified design model framework to pool an estimate for dose-response and lag-response structures for the association of Dengue hospitalisation relative risk (RR) and temperature. We estimated the overall dengue hospitalisation RR for the whole country as well as for each of the five macro-regions by meta- analysing state level estimates. Findings: 579,703 hospital admissions due to dengue occurred over the 10 years period of 2010 to 2019. We observed a positive association between high temperatures and high risk of hospitalisation for Brazil and each of the five macro-regions. The overall RR for dengue hospitalisation was at the 50th percentile of temperature distribution 1.40 (95% IC 1.27-1.54) and at 95th percentile of temperature the RR was 1.50 (1.38-1.66) for Brazil, relative to the minimum temperature, which was the one with the lowest risk. We also found lagged effects of heat on hospitalisation, particularly observed on the same day (lag 0) both at the 50th percentile and 95th. Interpretation: High temperatures are associated with an increase in the risk of hospitalisation by dengue infection. These findings may guide preparedness and mitigation policies during dengue season outbreaks, particularly on the health-care demand.

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Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Ambient Temperature and Dengue Hospitalisation in Brazil: A 10-year period two-stage case-design time series analysis

Silva

Basagaña

Bastos

et al. 2022

Preprint

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A Scopus-Based Bibliometric Analysis of Wolbachia-Aedes Innovation for Controlling Dengue Hemorrhagic Fever (DHF)

Budiyanti,

Kussariana

2024

BIO Web Conf.

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Wolbachia technology is an innovative strategy for controlling dengue hemorrhagic fever (DHF) and has been implemented in Indonesia. However, the community has pros and cons about its implementation. Some community’s rejection was caused by limited socialization, community knowledge, and perception. They still doubt the safety, effectiveness, and efficiency of Wolbachia-Aedes’s innovation. This study aims to map global and Indonesian research on Wolbachia-Aedes innovation. The study used a quantitative descriptive method with a bibliometric approach. Data were obtained from publications indexed in the Scopus database from 2014 to 2024 complemented by VOSviewer analysis. The results revealed 568 publications related to Wolbachia-Aedes innovation, with varying annual publication rates. In Indonesia, 32 publications have been produced since 2014, with the majority of research concentrated in Yogyakarta. Australian researchers are the leading contributors. International collaboration on Wolbachia-Aedes innovation is apparent, particularly among countries such as Burkina Faso, Greece, Benin, Cameroon, the United States, and Panama. Based on the co-words map, three clusters have related keywords. Further systematic reviews are needed to evaluate the effectiveness of and strategies for implementing the Wolbachia-Aedes innovation, as well as potential risks, impacts, and benefits of implementing this innovation.

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Ambient temperature and dengue hospitalization in Brazil: A 10-year period case time series analysis

Lopes,

Basagaña,

Bastos

et al. 2024

Environmental Epidemiology

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Background: Dengue has an increased worldwide epidemic potential with the global rising temperature due to climate change. Heat and rainfall are known to influence seasonal patterns of dengue transmission over the course of weeks to months. However, there is a gap in knowledge about the short-term effect of heat on dengue severity. We aimed to quantify the effect of ambient temperature on dengue hospitalization risk in Brazil. Methods: Daily dengue hospitalization counts and average daily ambient temperature from 2010 to 2019 were analyzed from Brazil. We applied the case time series design combined with a distributed lag nonlinear model framework to estimate relative risk (RR) estimates for dose–response and lag–response structures for the association of temperature and dengue hospitalization. We estimate the overall dengue hospitalization RR for the whole country as well as for each of the five macroregions. Results: A total of 579,703 hospital admissions due to dengue occurred between 2010 and 2019. We observed a positive association between high temperatures and a high risk of hospitalization across the country. Under extreme heat (95th percentile of temperature), the RR was 3.47 (95% confidence interval: 2.88, 4.19) compared with minimum hospitalization risk. This association was mainly driven by an immediate effect of heat (lag 0) and was similar for the Northeast, Center-West, Southeast, and South regions, but unclear for the North. The risk was of greater magnitude among females and those aged ≥65 years. Conclusion: Short-term high temperatures are associated with an increase in the risk of hospitalization by dengue.

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The impact of climate variability on dengue fever risk in central java, Indonesia

Cited by 4 publications

References 56 publications

Ambient Temperature and Dengue Hospitalisation in Brazil: A 10-year period two-stage case-design time series analysis

Ambient Temperature and Dengue Hospitalisation in Brazil: A 10-year period two-stage case-design time series analysis

A Scopus-Based Bibliometric Analysis of Wolbachia-Aedes Innovation for Controlling Dengue Hemorrhagic Fever (DHF)

Ambient temperature and dengue hospitalization in Brazil: A 10-year period case time series analysis

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