Objective
To investigate the modified frailty index (mFI) as a pre-operative predictor of post-operative complications following radical cystectomy in bladder cancer patients.
Materials and Methods
Patients undergoing radical cystectomy (RC) were identified from the National Surgical Quality Improvement Program (NSQIP) participant use files (2011-2013). The mFI was defined in prior studies with 11 variables based on mapping the Canadian Study of Health and Aging Frailty Index to NSQIP comorbidities and activities of daily living (ADL)s. Modified frailty index groups were determined by the number of risk factors per patient (0, 1, 2, ≥3). Univariate, χ2, independent sample t-test, and logistic regression analyses were performed when appropriate. A sensitivity analysis was performed to determine the mFI value at which Clavien 4 and 5 complications would reach significance.
Results
Of the 2679 cystectomy patients identified, 31% percent of patients had a mFI of 0, 44% had a mFI of 1, 21% had a mFI of 2, and 4% had a mFI ≥ 3. Overall, 59% of patients experienced a Clavien complication. When stratified at a cutoff of mFI >=2, the overall complication rate was not different (61.7% vs. 58.3%, p=0.1319), but the mFI2 or greater group had a significantly higher rate of Clavien grade 4 or 5 complications (14.6% vs. 8.3%, p<0.001) and overall mortality rate (3.5% vs. 1.8%, p=0.0128) in the 30-day post-operative period. The multivariate logistic regression model showed independent predictors of Clavien grade 4 or 5 complications were age >80 years old (OR, 1.58 [1.11-2.27]), mFI2 (odds ratio [OR], 1.84 [1.28-2.64]), and mFI3 (OR, 2.58 [1.47-4.55]).
Conclusions
Among patients undergoing radical cystectomy, the mFI can identify those patients at greatest risk for severe complications and mortality. Given that bladder cancer is increasing in prevalence particularly among the elderly, pre-operative risk stratification is crucial to inform decision making about surgical candidacy.