“…Catalano et al (2012) reasoned that if the shifting distribution explanation were correct, indicators of fitness among male fetuses that survive to birth would fall below expected levels in conception cohorts that yield fewer than expected male infants (i.e., live male births). Based on previous research (Cole, 2010;Cowans et al, 2009;Dugoff et al, 2004;Goetzl et al, 2004;Jelliffe-Pawlowski et al, 2010;Kirkegaard et al, 2010;Sasaki et al, 2008;Yaron et al, 2001), they used the median male hCG score, measured in the second trimester of gestation, as an indicator of fitness among survivors of 71 monthly California conception cohorts. Because of autocorrelation in both series, they performed the analysis not on the raw hCG medians and sex ratios, but on residuals derived from a Box-Jenkins ARIMA model (Box et al, 1994).…”