The Impact Of Fiscal Policy On The Unemployment Rate In Egypt

Omran, Emad Attia Mohamed; Bilan, Yuriy

doi:10.14254/1800-5845/2020.16-4.16

Cited by 8 publications

(12 citation statements)

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“…The larger part of the revenues of the public sector is accumulated from taxes and social contributions. Authors like Aronsson and Micheletto, Omran and Bilan, Libanova et al showed that employment and unemployment policies impact the tax revenues and the public budget receipts [28][29][30]. Moreover, several studies introduced the importance of human capital, their skills and knowledge to promote economic and social development, labor market competitiveness, social security, welfare and national budget's revenues [31][32][33][34].…”

Section: Literature Review and Hypothesesmentioning

confidence: 99%

Influence of Fiscal Policies and Labor Market Characteristics on Sustainable Social Insurance Budgets—Empirical Evidence from Central and Eastern European Countries

et al. 2021

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Social protection systems are a key factor for ensuring the long-term sustainability and stability of economies in the European Union, their reform being nowadays present in the political agenda of member states. Aging and the dependence on mandatory levies applied to the employed population on the labor market represent a threat for the sustainability of public social protection systems. In terms of sustainability, our purpose was to highlight the factors influencing social insurance budgets, considering the fiscal policies implemented in six countries of Central and Eastern Europe and their particular labor market characteristics. Therefore, a panel study based on a regression model using the Ordinary Least Squares method (OLS) with cross section random effects was used to determine the correlations between funding sources and labor market specific indicators. The data analyzed led to relevant results that emphasize the dependence of social insurance budgets on positive factors such as the average level of salaries, the share of compulsory social contributions, the unemployment rate, and the human development index, suggesting the continuing need for professional and personal development of the workforce.

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Section: Literature Review and Hypothesesmentioning

confidence: 99%

Influence of Fiscal Policies and Labor Market Characteristics on Sustainable Social Insurance Budgets—Empirical Evidence from Central and Eastern European Countries

et al. 2021

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“…Saleh [10] examined the impact of devaluation of the Egyptian pound value on the Egyptian agricultural balance of trade with the Arab countries during the period 1995-2015. The study concluded that the devaluation of Egyptian pound did not improve the agricultural trade balance between Egypt and the Arab countries [11]. Omran and Bilan estimated the unemployment rate responses to fiscal shocks during the period 1976-2018 by using SVAR and IRF.…”

Section: Literature Reviewmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Omran and Bilan estimated the unemployment rate responses to fiscal shocks during the period 1976-2018 by using SVAR and IRF. The most important results were that the fiscal policy represents in government spending shock has a negative impact on unemployment rate while the tax revenue has positive impact on unemployment rate [11].…”

Section: Literature Reviewmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Amer found that devaluation exchange rate doesn't affect the trade balance [1] Massoud and Willets concluded that the free-floating exchange rate regime was not preserved during the study period [9]. Solieman concluded that the high prices of food commodities in the consumer markets are due to floating exchange rate and other factors like the size of market Saleh [10] concluded that the devaluation of Egyptian pound did not improve the agricultural trade balance between Egypt and the Arab countries Omran and Bilan [11] found that the fiscal policy represents in government spending shock has a negative impact on unemployment rate while the tax revenue has positive impact on unemployment rate [11].…”

Section: Impulse Response Function (Irf)mentioning

confidence: 99%

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The Impact of Floating Egyptian Pound on Agricultural Sector in Egypt

El-Rasoul

Ghanem

Shafei

et al. 2021

AJAEES

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This research aimed to estimate the impact of applying flexible exchange rate on the Egyptian agriculture sector. Egypt applied floating exchange rate regime three times during the period 1991-2018. This research is based on some analytical approaches to achieve its objective such as robust regression and vector error correction model (VECM).It concluded that floating of Egyptian pound was not a good decision and it had a negative impact on Egyptian agricultural sector. The positive relationship between real Egyptian agricultural gross domestic product and real agricultural imports as well as the positive relationship between real agricultural imports and dollar exchange rate in Egypt which are not apply the economic logic, proof that the floating exchange rate regime and the macroeconomic policies applied during the study period were not effective as Egypt imports good and service with high prices due to the devaluation of Egyptian pound. So, the growth in agricultural gross domestic product was not real. The Egyptian government should pay more attention on the agricultural sector.

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“…Literatürün kanıt değeri açısından açık bıraktığı bu noktada sıfırın epsilon-𝜀 komşuluğu üzerinde oluşturulan görünür uzaklığa bağlı olarak gelişen durum asıl olarak işsizlik oranlarının bileşik anlamıdır ve işsizlik oranlarının bileşik anlamı, işsizliğin anlamıdır. Anlam esasken farklı değerlendirme metotlarına yönelmiş olan görüşler (Hall, 1979), , (Card, 2011), (Çavuşoğlu, Heap, & Horn, 2011), (Bayrakdar, 2015), (Yalçınkaya & Kaya, 2017), (Özpolat & Özsoy, 2018), (Üzar & Akyazı, 2018), (Vladi & Hysa, 2019), (Omran & Bilan, 2020), (Koç & Güner, 2020), (Pata, 2020), (Çemrek & Şeker, 2020), (Sarıca, Avcı, & Ceylan, 2022) ekonometrik (iktisadi-matematiksel) ağırlıklarıyla literatüre yerleşmiştir.…”

Section: Introductionunclassified

The Coalition of Average Constants In The Analysis of Unemployment Rates

SÜLEYMANOĞLU>

2022

Anadolu Economics

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In this paper, we determine the composite meaning of the unemployment rates. In economic contexts, the unemployment rates are generally defined as the total unemployment rate (T), the male unemployment rate (M), and the female unemployment rate (W). The methodology of the coalition of average constants yields a result that can be defined as the index of the coalition of average constants: impartiality, positivity, and negativity, by transforming these three ratios into two constants and just one average, around the ideal unemployment rate data proven within the scope of this research. The index value is the meaning of unemployment for a country that is subject to selection. The method's finding is as follows: for country Xi 〈i,…,n〉: if ideal unemployment rate is approached over rates in the year, then the index will have impartial rates, affirmative rates, or negative rates. To test this research, we have chosen eleven countries that have wide variation of unemployment rates by considering the collocation of unemployment rates by region in the world. In finalization point, we first constitute the economic problems triangle of these points: M (macroeconomic issues), Y (structural issues), and S (period of normality). We reach just one data of the triangle for the country with the index of the coalition of average constants (CACI) and human capital index (HCI) to determine related issues.

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The Impact Of Fiscal Policy On The Unemployment Rate In Egypt

Cited by 8 publications

References 0 publications

Influence of Fiscal Policies and Labor Market Characteristics on Sustainable Social Insurance Budgets—Empirical Evidence from Central and Eastern European Countries

Influence of Fiscal Policies and Labor Market Characteristics on Sustainable Social Insurance Budgets—Empirical Evidence from Central and Eastern European Countries

The Impact of Floating Egyptian Pound on Agricultural Sector in Egypt

The Coalition of Average Constants In The Analysis of Unemployment Rates

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