“…A major goal and a novel contribution of this article is to operationalize the strategic dilemma in a “nonpartisan” (at least as far as the ballot is concerned) environment and estimate rates of strategic voting in the 2014 Toronto municipal election. While nonpartisan ballot municipal elections have a developed literature associated with them (Adrian, ; Gilbert, ; Hagensick, ; Pomper, ; Conway, ; Welch and Bledsoe, ; Raymond, ; Schaffner, Streb, and Wright, , ; Taylor and Schreckhise, ; Rock and Baum, ), a good portion of it addresses the “usual suspects” in voting behavior, including models of vote choice and discussion of how partisanship may nonetheless have an influence on the electoral outcome. Direct treatment of strategic behavior in these elections is a notable lacuna in the academic literature, though at least in the case of the 2014 Toronto election, the mainstream media devoted plenty of space to the topic.…”