The Impact of Mass Migration of Syrians on the Turkish Labor Market

Aksu, Ege; Erzan, Refik; Kïrdar, Murat G.

doi:10.2139/ssrn.4136921

Cited by 8 publications

(37 citation statements)

References 37 publications

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“…For example, Ruiz and Vargas-Silva (2016) examine the labor market effects of refugee inflows from Burundi and Rwanda in Tanzania. Several studies focus on the impact of the Syrian refugee inflows on the labor market in Turkey, Akgündüz, Van den Berg, and Hassink (2015), Del , Tumen (2016), Ceritoglu, Yunculer, Torun, and Tumen (2017), and Aksu, Erzan, and Kırdar (2019), while and Fallah, Krafft, and Wahba (2019) study the impact in Jordan. 1 Also a few papers examine firm entry and performance in Turkey following the Syrian refugee shock (Akgündüz, Van den Berg, & Hassink, 2018;Altındag, Bakis, & Rozo, 2020).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Syrian Refugees and the Migration Dynamics of Jordanians: Moving In or Moving Out?

Wahba

El-Mallakh

2023

Economic Development and Cultural Change

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This paper examines the impact of massive refugee inflows on the internal mobility of the host's country population. We rely on panel data from before and after the Syrian war and exploit the geographical distribution of Syrians across Jordanian subdistricts. Using Difference-in-Differences, we find that the Syrian inflows increased Jordanian residential mobility. In particular, native outflows of the camp hosting areas increased by 27%. The increased residential mobility out of the camp areas seems to be triggered by an increase in rents and a crowding out of Jordanian students by Syrians in schools. Our results also show that the Syrian presence increased Jordanians' job location mobility into the camp areas. These findings are robust to controlling for refugees' locational sorting using instrumental variables, while auxiliary placebo regressions confirm that pre-existing trends in outcomes are not driving the results. We also provide a thorough discussion on the impact of refugees versus broader impacts of the Syrian war.

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Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Syrian Refugees and the Migration Dynamics of Jordanians: Moving In or Moving Out?

Wahba

El-Mallakh

2023

Economic Development and Cultural Change

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“…On the other hand, an influx of a large number of refugees can have negative externalities on host communities in low-income countries in the form of competition on informal low-skilled jobs (Ceritoglu et al, 2017;Aksu, Erzan and Kırdar, 2018), higher prices for food and housing (Rozo and Sviatschi, 2021), disease spread (Kalipeni and Oppong, 1998), and pressure on the environment in the form of deforestation, and land degradation (Black, 2018). Humanitarian aid may also be siphoned away.…”

mentioning

confidence: 99%

Inclusive Refugee-Hosting in Uganda Improves Local Development and Prevents Public Backlash

Zhou¹,

Grossman²,

Ge³

2022

Policy Research Working Papers

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The Policy Research Working Paper Series disseminates the findings of work in progress to encourage the exchange of ideas about development issues. An objective of the series is to get the findings out quickly, even if the presentations are less than fully polished. The papers carry the names of the authors and should be cited accordingly. The findings, interpretations, and conclusions expressed in this paper are entirely those of the authors. They do not necessarily represent the views of the International Bank for Reconstruction and Development/World Bank and its affiliated organizations, or those of the Executive Directors of the World Bank or the governments they represent.

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“…In municipalities outside the northern part of Brazil, however, the impacts was felt more on Brazilian wages as wages decreased across all sectors. These heterogenous impacts have been reported in many studies (Verme and Schuettler, 2021) along with the positive impact on formal employment among native workers (Del Carpio and Wagner (2016) and Aksu et al (2018)).…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 68%

“…There is also some evidence that low income countries benefit with an increase in employment among host workers as compared to high-income countries. Research on the Syrian displacement crisis (Del Carpio and Wagner (2016) and Aksu et al (2018)) find that the Syrian influx displaced natives in the informal sector but led to increase in formal employment among the Turkish, while there is some evidence that formal wages among men increased (Aksu et al (2018)). Following past literature on other countries, this paper complements the regression discontinuity methods with a di↵erence-in-di↵erence methodology that uses the variation in the ratio of migrants to populations across the di↵erent municipalities in Brazil over time to identify to e↵ect on the formal labor market on the country as a whole.…”

Section: Past Researchmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Following past literature on other countries, this paper complements the regression discontinuity methods with a di↵erence-in-di↵erence methodology that uses the variation in the ratio of migrants to populations across the di↵erent municipalities in Brazil over time to identify to e↵ect on the formal labor market on the country as a whole. However, the supply shocks across the municipalities may not be random and consequently this paper uses an instrumental variable approach, which employs a variant of the distance instrument used in many studies including Del Carpio and Wagner (2016) and Aksu et al (2018).…”

Section: Past Researchmentioning

confidence: 99%

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