The impact of mass migration of Syrians on the Turkish labor market

Aksu, Ege; Erzan, Refik; Kïrdar, Murat G.

doi:10.1016/j.labeco.2022.102183

Cited by 29 publications

(26 citation statements)

References 63 publications

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“…Second, refugee workers might have the tendency to seek recruitment opportunities as unskilled labour, thus offering cheaper labour to the capital owners. Third, and most significantly, the ability of refugees to positively affect the unemployment rate might be an indicator of their informal labour market access and job replacement with native workers (Aksu et al., 2022; Demirci & Kırdar, 2023). As they provide cheaper labour and cannot demand political rights from capital owners, such as unionization, they are more favourable in the labour market.…”

Section: Resultsmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…The first group of quantitative studies has also analysed Syrians' various economic impacts. The majority of the research mainly attempts to explore whether Syrian refugees are a burden on Türkiye's economy with a particular emphasis on the labour market (Aksu et al., 2022; Aracı et al., 2022; Bağır, 2018; Bahcekapili & Cetin, 2015; Balkan & Tumen, 2016; Ceritoglu et al., 2017; Del Carpio & Wagner, 2015; Demirci & Kırdar, 2023; Mahia et al., 2020; Tanrıkulu, 2021; Tumen, 2016). The other themes are the effect of Syrian refugees on housing prices (Balkan et al., 2018), their firm entry (Akgündüz et al., 2018), and the informal economy (Altındağ et al., 2020).…”

Section: Exploring the Literature: Türkiye's Economic Challenge With ...mentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Furthermore, recent studies focusing on the labour market effects of Syrian refugees in Türkiye have presented a deeper comprehension of formal and informal labour markets. Aksu et al (2022) allow us to document the strong negative effects of Syrians on native workers in the informal labour market, yet a positive impact in the formal sector. Following a similar result to this research, Demirci and Kırdar (2023) document the overwhelming employment of Syrian refugees in the informal labour market and the high level of the native-refugee gap.…”

Section: E Xploring the Liter Ature: Türkiye ' S Economic Challeng E ...mentioning

confidence: 99%

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The prolonged dilemma: Refugees' impact on labour market in Türkiye

Demirkol

2024

International Migration

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Türkiye has a long history of hosting millions of refugees, but since the beginning of the Syrian civil war in 2011, it has emerged as the world's leading refugee‐hosting country. Due to this fact, the frequency of refugee inflows to Türkiye has attracted us to explore refugees' macroeconomic impacts as the ongoing political and social debates in Türkiye regarding refugees are immensely focused on their economic impacts. Hence, this paper investigates the effect of refugees on unemployment in Türkiye. The study utilizes the Auto Regressive Distributed Lags (ARDL) Bounds Test approach from 1991 to 2021. Our results yield the pronounced positive and aggravating impact of refugees on unemployment rates in Türkiye. Türkiye's policymakers should focus on local economic policies to improve the refugees' formal integration into the labour market to resolve the negative economic effect of refugee hosting on the labour market.

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Section: Resultsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Exploring the Literature: Türkiye's Economic Challenge With ...mentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: E Xploring the Liter Ature: Türkiye ' S Economic Challeng E ...mentioning

confidence: 99%

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The prolonged dilemma: Refugees' impact on labour market in Türkiye

Demirkol

2024

International Migration

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“…For example, while 33% of natives have at least a high school degree, the rate is 5.5% among Syrian refugees (Tumen, 2018; Table 1). Syrian refugees enter the Turkish labor market through informal manual jobs and displace natives who are employed in those jobs (Altindag et al., 2020; Aksu et al., 2022; Bagir, 2018; Ceritoglu et al., 2017; Del Carpio & Wagner, 2015; Tumen, 2016). It has also been shown that informally employed refugee workers provide labor cost advantages to firms, and that they suppress wage growth in the lower segment of the labor market (Balkan & Tumen, 2016).…”

Section: Conceptual Framework and The Existing Literaturementioning

confidence: 99%

The crime effect of refugees

Akbulut‐Yuksel,

Mocan,

Tumen

et al. 2023

J Policy Anal Manage

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We analyze the impact on crime of millions of refugees who entered and stayed in Turkey as a result of the civil war in Syria. Using a novel administrative data source on the flow of offense records to prosecutors’ offices in 81 provinces of the country each year, and utilizing the staggered movement of refugees across provinces over time, we estimate instrumental variables models that address potential endogeneity of the number of refugees and their location and find that an increase in the number of refugees leads to more crime. We estimate that the influx of refugees between 2012 and 2016 generated additional 75,000 to 150,000 crimes per year, although it is not possible to identify the distribution of these crimes between refugees and natives. Additional analyses reveal that a low‐educated native population has a separate, but smaller, effect on crime. Our results underline the need to quickly strengthen the social safety systems, to take actions to dampen the impact on the labor market, and to provide support to the criminal justice system for mitigating the repercussions of massive influx of individuals into a country, and to counter the social and political backlash that typically emerges in the wake of such large‐scale population movements.

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“…The findings for Colombia are also consistent with those from studies of the Syrian migration. Del Carpio and Wagner (2015) and Aksu, Erzan, and Kırdar (2022) IMF DEPARTMENTAL PAPERS • Regional Spillovers from the Venezuelan Crisis…”

Section: Evidence From Other Countriesmentioning

confidence: 99%

Regional Spillovers from the Venezuelan Crisis

Arena¹,

Guajardo²,

Yépez³

et al. 2022

Departmental Papers

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6.81 million Venezuelans were living abroad according to the r4v.info website. 13 Refugee and migrants have distinct and different meanings. Refugees are defined and protected in international law (for example, 1951 UN Convention on Refugees). On the other hand, and according to UNHCR, migrants choose to move not because of a direct threat of persecution or death, but mainly to improve their lives by finding work, or in some cases for education, family reunion, or other reasons. Unlike refugees who cannot safely return home, migrants face no such impediment to return. Nevertheless, the framework presented in this paper is useful to understand the economic implications of large human mobility episodes. 14 This total includes about 350,000 returning Colombians who had moved to Venezuela decades ago.

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The impact of mass migration of Syrians on the Turkish labor market

Cited by 29 publications

References 63 publications

The prolonged dilemma: Refugees' impact on labour market in Türkiye

The prolonged dilemma: Refugees' impact on labour market in Türkiye

The crime effect of refugees

Regional Spillovers from the Venezuelan Crisis

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