“…Apart from geopolitical risk, other types of risk are also known to impact the stock return of firms. Examples of other risks include risk from the financial crises (such as recession (BenMim and BenSaïda 2019), banking crises (Miyajima and Yafeh 2007)), risk due to government policy and regulatory decisions (Grout and Zalewska 2006;Lamdin 2001;Jeon et al 2020), risk due to natural disasters and climate/weather change (Atems et al 2020;Bourdeau-Brien and Kryzanowski 2017), risk from political fallouts (Buigut and Kapar 2019), risk as a result of the occurrence of infectious diseases such as COVID-19 and SARs (Mazura et al 2020;Chen et al 2007;Bai et al 2020;Kim et al 2020), risk due to M&A/joint ventures (Hanvanich and Çavuşgil 2001;Koh and Venkatraman 1991;Park et al 2002;Dranev et al 2019;Cuéllar-Fernández et al 2011), risk due to industrial chemical accidents (Makino 2016), disruption of goods or services in the supply chain (Chen et al 2019), announcements (Dobija et al 2012;Hanvanich and Çavuşgil 2001;Jeon et al 2020), trading of gold and oil market futures (Junttila et al 2018), trading on the U.S. dollar (the U.S. reserve currency) (Kocaarslan and Soytas 2019), IT infrastructure changes (Wagener et al 2010), food safety events (Seo et al 2013), etc. Caldara and Iacoviello (2018) have developed a geopolitical risk index which measures the fluctuations in geopolitical risk over a given period of time, and we intend to further explore geopolitical risk using this index in order to forecast the impact of this specific risk (GPR) on stock returns of the S&P 500 index.…”