The study examined the risk and protective factors for the successful completion of probation orders among youth offenders in Singapore. Specifically, we proposed a typology whereby a predictor can be labeled as a promotive factor, hazard factor, or mixed factor in a direct relationship; or a booster factor or buffering factor in an interactive relationship. This study included 701 youth offenders. Retrospective case file coding was conducted to score the Youth Level of Service/Case Management Inventory (YLS/CMI) and Structured Assessment of Protective Factors for Violence Risk-Youth Version (SAPROF-YV). Most SAPROF factors were shown to be mixed protective factors, whereas most YLS/CMI domains were either mixed risk factors or hazard factors. An absence of a supportive external pedagogical climate (PC) was the strongest mixed factor. For youth with high PC, significant booster factors included high levels of attitudes toward agreements and conditions, motivation for treatment, perseverance, and bonding to school/work, as well as low levels of risk in peer relations and education/employment. For youth with limited PC, buffering factors with the strongest effects include self-control, future orientation, and school/work. Implications for practice and future research were discussed. Keywords youth offender, protective factor, risk factor, YLS/CMI, SAPROF Youth offending and reoffending is a costly societal problem. Though in a decreasing trend, the number of youth arrested and convicted each year is still high worldwide. According to the World Health Organization (WHO), an estimated 200,000 homicides occur among youth each year globally (WHO, 2016). Risk and protective factors associated with youth crime have received extensive attention from scholars. However, different terminologies have been used to describe risk and protective factors in existing literature (Ttofi, Farrington, Piquero, & DeLisi, 2016), and studies have shown considerable variations in the crime and recidivism rates. A recent systematic review of prospective longitudinal studies showed that the prevalence of life-course-persistent offenders varied vastly between 1.3% and 29.1% due to the differences in the study population and the definition of key constructs (Jolliffe, Farrington, Piquero, MacLeod, & van de Weijer, 2017). Therefore, research using shared definitions of variables examining the mechanisms of youth crime are critically needed in criminology research. Establishment of a typology of risk and protective factors is necessary to inform prevention and intervention programs for better offender rehabilitation outcomes in different cultures.
Standardizing the Definitions of Risk and Protective FactorsIn the forensic risk assessment literature, risk factors are found to be consistently defined as variables that increase the likelihood of negative outcomes Vagi et al., 2013). In addition, risk factors should precede the outcomes and can be used to classify a population into high-risk and low-risk groups (Kraemer et al., 1997). In fo...