The incidence of all organ malignancies and overall survival of patient with sustained virological response of HCV

Abstract

Objective This study prospectively observed the incidence of all malignancies and the prognosis of all patients in a population of patients who achieved Sustained Virological Response (SVR) with a 100% capture rate. Design: A prospective study of 651 SVR cases was conducted from July 2013 to December 2021. The primary endpoint was the occurrence of all malignancies, and the secondary endpoint was overall survival. The cancer incidence during the follow-up period was calculated using the man-year method, and risk factors were analyzed. In addition, sex- and age-matched standardized mortality ratios (SMR) were used to compare the general population with the study population. Results The overall median follow-up was 5.44 years. 107 malignancies occurred in 99 patients during the follow-up. The incidence of all malignancies was 3.94/100 person-years. The cumulative incidence was 3.6% at 1 year, 11.1% at 3 years, and 17.9% at 5 years, and continued to increase almost linearly. The incidence of liver cancer and non-liver cancer was 1.94/100 patient-years vs. 1.81%/100 patient-years. The 1-year, 3-year, and 5-year survival rates were 99.3%, 96.5%, and 94.4%, respectively. This life expectancy was compared to the standardized mortality ratio of the Japanese population, which proved non-inferior. Conclusion It was found that malignancies of other organs occur as frequently as hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Therefore, follow-up of patients who have achieved SVR should focus not only on HCC but also on malignant tumors of other organs, and lifelong follow could contribute prolonged life expectancy for the previously short-lived.