The influence of “offer for sale” by existing shareholders on investors’ reaction in the IPO immediate aftermarket

Ahmad

2020

PAR

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to examine the effects of pricing mechanism on initial public offerings (IPOs) oversubscription in Pakistan. Design/methodology/approach This study used cross-sectional data to analyse 85 listed IPOs on the Pakistan stock exchange during the period of 2000-2017 to assess hypotheses related to influential determinants of IPO oversubscription. Accordingly, ordinary least square, robust regression and quantile regression approaches were applied in this study to evaluate the factors that influenced oversubscription. Findings The outcome displayed pricing mechanism is negatively significant with an oversubscription of IPOs. This indicates firms using the fixed-price mechanism signalled higher information asymmetry and uncertainty in their value. Thus, investors are aware that they will be offset with underpricing, and it is expected the demand will be higher for the particular IPOs. Research limitations/implications This study is entirely focused on the available information of prospectus that should not be ignored by potential investors at the time of subscription of IPO. Therefore, the study contributes to extending the available literature in signalling theory whereby issuers should consider using the book-building pricing mechanism in enhancing the efficiency of the IPO offer price during the listing. Originality/value This paper provides evidence for the determinants of the IPO oversubscription.

Section: Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Impact of pricing mechanism on IPO oversubscription: evidence from Pakistan stock exchange

Ahmad

2020

PAR

“…Thus, IPOs with high public ownership tend to be undervalued. Offer-for-sales (OFS) was measured as the number of existing shares being offered to the public over the total number of shares prior to the issuance of the IPO (Che-Yahya et al , 2018). A large portion of shares being offered by the existing shareholders implies firms of poor quality to the market, which in turn causes IPOs to be undervalued.…”

Section: Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Does disclosure of earnings forecasts regulation affect the valuation of IPOs? Evidence from an emerging country

Ong

et al. 2021

ARA

PurposeThis paper aimed to explore the effect of a regulatory change pertaining to earnings forecasts disclosure from a mandatory to a voluntary regime on the valuation of Malaysian initial public offerings (IPOs).Design/methodology/approachThe study employed ordinary least square (OLS) regression and quantile regression to analyse the impact of disclosure of earnings forecasts regulation on the valuation of IPOs which comprised 458 IPOs reported for the period 2000–2017 on Bursa Malaysia.FindingsThis paper revealed that the regulatory change in forecasted earnings disclosure from a mandatory to a voluntary regime, effective from 1 February 2008, had a negative impact on the valuation of IPOs. The regime change did not improve the transparency of firms issuing IPOs. In fact, the absence of forecasted earnings information in most IPO prospectuses caused ex ante uncertainties to increase. Voluntary disclosure, however, had a significant positive relationship with the valuation of the IPOs issued during the global financial crisis period (2008–2010). Firms concealed their poor qualities by excluding forecasted earnings information from their prospectuses in order to have a fair valuation.Practical implicationsThe findings may be used by policymakers as guidance in improving the existing regulation regarding the disclosure of forecasted earnings.Originality/valueThis paper provides new insight on the effect of a regulatory change pertaining to earnings forecasts disclosure from a mandatory to a voluntary regime on the valuation of Malaysian IPOs. It also provides evidence that the regulatory change of earnings forecast disclosure affects the IPOs' values listed during the global financial crisis period.

“…The initial return of IPO was treated as a dependent variable in the present work. To assess the initial performance, a measure of percentage change in offer price to closing price on the first listing day of trading was used (Che-Yahya et al, 2018;Mohd-Rashid et al, 2019;Mohd-Rashid et al, 2016). Below is the formula for the computation of initial performance:…”

Section: Variables Definition and Analytical Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Sponsor ownership and IPO initial return: evidence from Pakistan stock exchange

Ahmad

et al. 2021

PAR

Purpose The purpose of this paper was to examine whether or not the sponsor lock-up ratio, lock-up period, regulation changes and interaction variable (oversubscription [OSR]) affected initial public offering (IPO) initial return. Design/methodology/approach A complete sample of 111 listed IPOs in Pakistan stock exchange from 1996 to 2018 was incorporated. Based on the cross-section data, this paper estimated using ordinary least square and quantile least square for robustness. In addition to that, this paper estimated the data using stepwise least square to inspect the signalling aspect of the lock-up ratio, lock-up period and regulation changes on IPO initial return. Findings This study showed that the lock-up ratio, lock-up period and regulatory changes had a positive impact on the IPO’s initial return. Furthermore, the assertion of interaction variable (regulation changes × OSR) and (lock-up period × OSR) was a negatively significant factor in influencing the IPO’s initial return. The results of this paper were robust to endogeneity bias. Practical implications The finding of this study proposed that sponsors of IPOs can be a strong signal of risk or quality, which was consistent with the signalling theory prediction. Concurrently, investors must be aware of the total proportions of lock-up ratio so that they can estimate the chances of getting the highest initial return on IPOs. From the regulators’ point of view, it is suggested that the lock-up ratio and the lock-up period should be determined with a deeper understanding and incorporated into the equity guidelines as it is evident that these factors are priced by the market. Originality/value Studies on the effect of sponsors have always been centred on well-recognized firms. Therefore, using the IPO samples listed in Pakistan, this paper contributes to the IPO literature by investigating the lock-up ratio of the sponsor, the lock-up period and the regulatory changes to the initial IPO return. Additionally, OSR has been introduced as an interaction variable among the sponsors’ lock-up period and regulations changes to explain the ongoing IPO initial return phenomenon.