A rterial stiffness measures predict the onset of hypertension and incident cardiovascular disease (CVD) events. [1][2][3][4][5] Cross-sectional correlates of vascular stiffness include age, sex, weight, blood pressure, height, and metabolic features like fasting glucose and lipid levels. 6 Our previous work demonstrated strong, nonlinear relations between age and aortic stiffness measures, suggesting that aortic stiffness increases over time, particularly after midlife.7 Prior work has shown that age-related trends in average values for risk factors, such as blood pressure, may include effects from aging itself, age-related changes in other risk factor levels, birth cohort effects, or other factors. [8][9][10] CVD risk factors found to be associated with aging-related phenotypes in cross-sectional analyses can differ from observed associations in longitudinal analyses.11 Therefore, we sought to assess the prospective associations of changes in large and small vessel function (as dependent variables) with changes in metabolic traits (as the independent variables) in a large community-based, multiethnic sample of middle-aged and older adults. Based on previously identified cross-sectional associations between metabolic risk factors and vascular function and between older age and worsening vascular function, we hypothesized that longitudinal worsening of metabolic traits would be associated with worsening of large and small vessel function.
MethodsData, analytic methods, and study materials are available to other researchers through National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute BioLINCC repository at https://biolincc.nhlbi.nih.gov/studies/ framcohort/. The study sample consisted of participants in the Framingham Offspring, Omni 1, Third Generation, and Omni 2 cohorts, which have been described in detail. Worsening of each metabolic trait was associated with increases in CFPWV and MAP (P<0.0001 for all associations) and an increase in MAP was associated with an increase in CFPWV. Overall, worsening metabolic traits were associated with worsening aortic stiffness and MAP. Opposite net change in aortic stiffness and MAP suggests that factors other than distending pressure contributed to the observed increase in aortic stiffness. Change in metabolic traits explained a greater proportion of the change in CFPWV and MAP than baseline metabolic values.