The market value of colonial New Jersey's paper money is decomposed into its real asset present value and its liquidity premium. Its real asset present value accounted for over 80 percent, whereas its value as money per se accounted for under 20, percent of its market value. Colonial paper money was not a fiat currency. Its liquidity premium was driven by the quantity of paper money in circulation and the method of injection. The quantity theory of money performs poorly when using prices and exchange rates, but performs well when using real asset present values, to measure paper money's expected value. The market value of colonial New Jersey's paper money is decomposed into its real asset present value and its liquidity premium. Its real asset present value accounted for over 80 percent, whereas its value as money per se accounted for under 20, percent of its market value. Colonial paper money was not a fiat currency. Its liquidity premium was driven by the quantity of paper money in circulation and the method of injection. The quantity theory of money performs poorly when using prices and exchange rates, but performs well when using real asset present values, to measure paper money's expected value.
Farley GrubbThe British North American colonies were the first western economies to emit sizeable amounts of colony-specific paper money, also called bills of credit. These bills were emitted directly by their respective colonial legislatures and not by banks. No specie-based commercial banks issuing paper banknotes exchangeable for specie on demand existed in British North America in this era.
2Explaining how colonial paper money regimes performed has proven controversial.Scholars have found that the statistical relationships between the quantity of paper money in Colonial legislatures had paper money printed and placed in their respective colonies' treasuries. They directly spent this money on soldiers' pay, military provisions, government salaries, and so on. In some cases, they loaned it out on interest to their respective subjects who secured these loans by pledging their lands as collateral. This legislatureissued paper money formed an important part of the circulating medium of exchange in many colonies (Brock 1975;Newman 2008 A new approach to explaining the market value of colonial paper money is offered here.It relies on the distinctive character of colonial paper money as bills of credit. The market value of a bill is decomposed into its real asset present value when used as just another barter good or non-money tradable bond, and its liquidity premium or "moneyness" value, namely its unique value as a medium of exchange. Bills of credit had legally defined future redemption dates when they would be paid off at face value in specie equivalents by the issuing government. Their real present value, under certainty of redemption as just another barter asset, can be calculated. The difference between these present values and the bills' valuations in the marketplace measures their liquidity premium.This...