2022
DOI: 10.1177/00157325221126598
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The J-Curve Effect in Services Trade: A Disaggregated Analysis

Abstract: This article examines the relationship between the real exchange rate and the services trade balance in the UK using the quarterly data for the 2005Q1–2019Q4 period. We consider the aggregate as well as disaggregated trade across five services categories. We employ linear and non-linear autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) models. The non-linear model, in particular, allows consideration of asymmetric response of the trade balance to depreciations as opposed to appreciations. The findings indicate little evid… Show more

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References 31 publications
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