2021
DOI: 10.1002/fut.22247
|View full text |Cite
|
Sign up to set email alerts
|

The lead of oil price rises on US equity market beliefs and preferences

Abstract: We find that oil price rises from a strengthening global economy have a statedependent lead on US equity market beliefs and preferences. When equity volatility is low, rising oil prices lead higher cashflow expectations, lower longrun (LR) volatility, and increased LR risk aversion. When volatility is high, markets focus on the contractionary effects of higher input costs, with rising oil prices leading decreased cashflow expectations, higher LR volatility, and decreased LR risk aversion. Findings suggest impo… Show more

Help me understand this report

Search citation statements

Order By: Relevance

Paper Sections

Select...
1
1

Citation Types

0
2
0

Year Published

2021
2021
2023
2023

Publication Types

Select...
3

Relationship

0
3

Authors

Journals

citations
Cited by 3 publications
(2 citation statements)
references
References 83 publications
(169 reference statements)
0
2
0
Order By: Relevance
“…From Figure 4, good volatility spillovers exceed bad volatility spillovers in the intraday trading session, while spillovers are dominated by bad volatility in the overnight trading session. Oil prices affect market beliefs and preferences (Dark, 2021), and according to Wang and Wu (2018), SAM can well detect whether the market is in an optimistic or pessimistic mood and what their expectations are.…”
Section: Empirical Analysismentioning
confidence: 99%
See 1 more Smart Citation
“…From Figure 4, good volatility spillovers exceed bad volatility spillovers in the intraday trading session, while spillovers are dominated by bad volatility in the overnight trading session. Oil prices affect market beliefs and preferences (Dark, 2021), and according to Wang and Wu (2018), SAM can well detect whether the market is in an optimistic or pessimistic mood and what their expectations are.…”
Section: Empirical Analysismentioning
confidence: 99%
“…From Figure 4, good volatility spillovers exceed bad volatility spillovers in the intraday trading session, while spillovers are dominated by bad volatility in the overnight trading session. Oil prices affect market beliefs and preferences (Dark, 2021), and according to Wang and Wu (2018), SAM can well detect whether the market is in an optimistic or pessimistic mood and what their expectations are. The asymmetry of stock market spillover to the crude oil market is evident throughout the sample period, with negative SAM values for most of the intraday period and positive SAM values for the overnight period.…”
Section: Rolling Window Analysismentioning
confidence: 99%