“…From the position of current research quite important are works by Grech and Mazur (2004) and Grech and Pamula (2008), who investigate a connection between the Hurst exponent and market crashes.…”
Section: Analysis Of Key Theoretical Concepts Explaining Financial Mamentioning
This paper examines the behavior of financial markets efficiency during the recent financial market crisis. Using the Hurst exponent as a criterion of market efficiency we show that level of market efficiency is different for pre-crisis and crisis periods. We also classify financial markets of different countries by the level of their efficiency and reaffirm that financial markets of developed countries are more efficient than the developing ones. Based on Ukrainian financial market analysis we show the reasons of inefficiency of financial markets and provide some recommendations on their solution and thus improving the efficiency.
“…From the position of current research quite important are works by Grech and Mazur (2004) and Grech and Pamula (2008), who investigate a connection between the Hurst exponent and market crashes.…”
Section: Analysis Of Key Theoretical Concepts Explaining Financial Mamentioning
This paper examines the behavior of financial markets efficiency during the recent financial market crisis. Using the Hurst exponent as a criterion of market efficiency we show that level of market efficiency is different for pre-crisis and crisis periods. We also classify financial markets of different countries by the level of their efficiency and reaffirm that financial markets of developed countries are more efficient than the developing ones. Based on Ukrainian financial market analysis we show the reasons of inefficiency of financial markets and provide some recommendations on their solution and thus improving the efficiency.
“…They show that the S&P500 stock index exhibits weak long-range correlations. On the other hand, Grech and Pamuła [3] and Grech and Mazur [4] employed the local Hurst exponent behavior in order to predict crashes on the financial market.…”
Indices of selected financial markets from various parts of world, different sizes and levels of development are investigated. The local Hurst exponent is globally compared to log-prices. Periodic changes in correlation coefficient are quantified via discrete Fourier transform. Local Hurst exponents spectra are discussed for investigated markets.
“…10. Information suggesting that the end of the PL-identified trend is approaching; as is suggested by the research of Grech and Pamula (2008).…”
Section: Kinds Of Information That Would Disrupt/reduce Trader-homogementioning
confidence: 74%
“…LeBaron (2001) suggests that traders losing diverse buy/sell rules evolve to one dominant trading rule, a finding that also supports our hypothesis of synchronization. Grech and Pamula (2008) show that shortly before a crash a few of what they call "speculative" traders start abandoning the herd; as more begin to jump from the bubble, the period of log periodicity ends and a crash occurs.…”
Section: >>>Insert Figures 6 and 7 About Here<<mentioning
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