2008
DOI: 10.1016/j.physa.2008.02.007
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The local Hurst exponent of the financial time series in the vicinity of crashes on the Polish stock exchange market

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Cited by 128 publications
(80 citation statements)
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“…From the position of current research quite important are works by Grech and Mazur (2004) and Grech and Pamula (2008), who investigate a connection between the Hurst exponent and market crashes.…”
Section: Analysis Of Key Theoretical Concepts Explaining Financial Mamentioning
confidence: 99%
“…From the position of current research quite important are works by Grech and Mazur (2004) and Grech and Pamula (2008), who investigate a connection between the Hurst exponent and market crashes.…”
Section: Analysis Of Key Theoretical Concepts Explaining Financial Mamentioning
confidence: 99%
“…They show that the S&P500 stock index exhibits weak long-range correlations. On the other hand, Grech and Pamuła [3] and Grech and Mazur [4] employed the local Hurst exponent behavior in order to predict crashes on the financial market.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…10. Information suggesting that the end of the PL-identified trend is approaching; as is suggested by the research of Grech and Pamula (2008).…”
Section: Kinds Of Information That Would Disrupt/reduce Trader-homogementioning
confidence: 74%
“…LeBaron (2001) suggests that traders losing diverse buy/sell rules evolve to one dominant trading rule, a finding that also supports our hypothesis of synchronization. Grech and Pamula (2008) show that shortly before a crash a few of what they call "speculative" traders start abandoning the herd; as more begin to jump from the bubble, the period of log periodicity ends and a crash occurs.…”
Section: >>>Insert Figures 6 and 7 About Here<<mentioning
confidence: 99%