The Long-Run Effects of Immigration: Evidence Across a Barrier to Refugee Settlement

Immigration and Nationalism in the Long Run

“…This result is consistent with survey-experimental evidence by Dinas et al (2021), who show that historical exposure to immigration increases sympathy for refugees when surveys mention parallels between past and present immigration. Our evidence on the proposed mechanism of experiencing the economic advantages of immigration resonates with recent studies on the local economic effects of immigration (Beerli et al, 2021;Ciccone & Nimczik, 2022;Peters, 2021;Sequeira et al, 2020;Tabellini, 2020) and our results are in line with those that find positive economic effects. Our approach of differentiating between short-run and long-run effects is related to Sequeira et al (2020) and supports their main results.…”

Immigration and Nationalism in the Long Run

“…This result is consistent with survey-experimental evidence by Dinas et al (2021), who show that historical exposure to immigration increases sympathy for refugees when surveys mention parallels between past and present immigration. Our evidence on the proposed mechanism of experiencing the economic advantages of immigration resonates with recent studies on the local economic effects of immigration (Beerli et al, 2021;Ciccone & Nimczik, 2022;Peters, 2021;Sequeira et al, 2020;Tabellini, 2020) and our results are in line with those that find positive economic effects. Our approach of differentiating between short-run and long-run effects is related to Sequeira et al (2020) and supports their main results.…”

“…These results are consistent withPeters (2021) andCiccone & Nimczik (2022), who both find positive long-term economic effects of the immigration of expellees to Germany.…”

“…7 6 Schumann (2014) studies the persistence of population density for this spatial discontinuity in Baden-Württemberg for the 1950-1970 period. In a recent working paper, Ciccone & Nimczik (2022) study economic effects of this discontinuous distribution of expellees. 7 As there have been administrative reforms in the 1970s that reduced the number of municipalities in Baden-Württemberg, we collect the location of the historical municipalities in latitude-longitude space and match the number of expellees and inhabitants to the respective current municipalities using geographic information system (GIS) software.…”

Community Size and Electoral Preferences: Evidence From Post-Second World War Baden-Württemberg

“…2 As opposed to virtually every other migration wave in modern history, the expellees spoke the same language as the natives while sharing the same ethnic heritage and broad cultural background (Braun and Mahmoud 2014;Connor 2007;Judt 2006;Moersch and Weber 2008;Wyrwich 2020). While they were not identical to the natives in their demographic and socioeconomic characteristics, they were closely comparable, especially when conditioning on a rich set of municipality-level observables (see Ciccone and Nimczik 2022;Schumann 2014, and references therein; more details can be found in Section 'Identifying assumptions').…”