The MANBRIC-Technologies in the Forthcoming Technological Revolution

Abstract

In this chapter, we analyze the relationship between Kondratieff waves and major technological revolutions on the basis of the theory of production principles and production revolutions, and offer some forecasts about the features of the Sixth Kondratieff Wave/the Fourth Industrial Revolution. We show that the technological breakthrough of the Sixth Kondratieff Wave may be interpreted as both the Fourth Industrial Revolution and as the final phase of the Cybernetic Revolution. We assume that the sixth K-wave in the 2030s and 2040s will merge with the final phase of the Cybernetic Revolution (which we call a phase of selfregulating systems). This period will be characterized by the breakthrough in medical technologies which will be capable of combining a number of other technologies into a single system of new and innovative technologies (we denote this system as a system of MANBRIC-technologies-i.e. medical, additive, nano-, bio-, robo-, info-, and cogno-technologies).

“Overcoming the Limits”. The first results of an interdisciplinary scientific project

“…Third world economies are growing. The living standards of developed and developing countries are getting closer, and this process of convergence must continue [1][2][3][4][5][6][7][8][9]. Without convergence, it is impossible to change the World System and solve the climate problem.…”

“…The most dynamic areas of development will be Medical, Additive, Nano, Bio, Robotics, Information and Cognitive technologies. This cluster of future technologies was named the MANBRIC-convergence [3,[8][9][10][11][12]. The sixth technological paradigm will introduce into our life a huge number of self-regulating systems, among which self-driving cars will be only a relatively small, albeit an important part of the new reality.…”

How Can COVID-19 Change Geopolitics and Economy?

“…It is clear that the USA is increasingly losing its leadership functions (see Kissinger 2001Kissinger , 2014Buchanan 2002;Kupchan 2002;Todd 2003;Wallerstein 2003;Mandelbaum 2005;Kennedy 2008;Zakaria 2008;NIC 2008NIC , 2012Lachmann 2010: 195, 197;Grinin 2010Grinin , 2019Grinin, Korotayev 2010a, 2010bGrinin, Korotayev, Tausch 2016;Grinin, L., Grinin, A., Korotayev 2017a; see also Komlosy, Hofbauer 2019). It is very important that this weakening has caused the global 'disorder' in recent years; moreover, it is the US actions that significantly impact this situation (Grinin, L., Grinin, A., Korotayev 2017a, 2017b. The 'disorder' has even more increased after Trump came to power -among other things because of his aspiration to change the long-standing relationships .…”

“…It is in such periods of weak economic development that turbulent phenomena intensify in world politics, the world order is shaken, and the search for some new principles begins. It should be added that according to the theory of production revolutions , 2016a, 2016bGrinin, L., Grinin, A., Korotayev 2017a, 2017b, the modern era attributes to the third revolution -the Cybernetic (after the Agricultural/Neolithic and Industrial Revolutions). 6 This revolution has three phases.…”

“…The next phase of rapid innovative technological development is expected to start between 2030 and 2040. It will merge with the sixth technological paradigm, which is formed as a result of the sixth Kondratieff wave (about the Cybernetic Revolution and the sixth Kondratieff wave see Grinin, L., Grinin, A. , 2016aGrinin, A. , 2016bGrinin, Korotayev, Tausch 2016;Grinin, L., Grinin, A., Korotayev 2017a, 2017b. The period from the 1990s to the 2030s is the intermediate phase of the Cybernetic Revolution.…”