The Method of Proactive Risk Assessment for Flight Safety Based on the Rate of Dangerous Events

Honcharenko, Yevhen

doi:10.3849/aimt.01424

Cited by 6 publications

(2 citation statements)

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“…Крім цього при вирішенні прикладних завдань використовуються методи оцінки загроз та ризиків. Це детерміновані [24][25][26][27][28][29][30][31], імовірнісні (теоретикоімовірнісні) [32][33][34], статистичні [35][36][37][38], експертні [39][40][41][42][43], евристичні [44][45][46][47], комбіновані [48,49], нечіткі [50][51][52][53], нейромережеві [54-56], які у свою чергу можуть бути якісними та кількісними.…”

Section: аналіз останніх досліджень і публікаційunclassified

Threats and Risks Research Methods

Azarenko,

Honcharenko,

Divizinyuk

et al. 2023

MEC

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The work systematizes knowledge in the field of threat and risk research when solving applied problems. To achieve the set goal, the following scientific tasks must be solved: analyze the main concepts of threat and risk research; give a description of the tasks to be solved regarding threats and risks; consider the main methods of threat and risk analysis from the standpoint of the technocratic concept; from the standpoint of the technocratic concept, consider the main methods of risk assessment, their advantages and disadvantages. A threat is understood as a potentially possible event that can lead to harm (catastrophic event), and risk - determines the degree of danger of occurrence or impact of a threat (or a set of threats - a set of catastrophic events) on a specific object (resource, process or system). At the same time, for a specific dangerous (for example, a nuclear) object, the concepts of a certain type of threat and the risk of its occurrence are interconnected. This strict triangular dependence requires a unified (inseparable, interrelated) consideration of these concepts in relation to solving various applied problems. A systematic approach to ensuring their safety is applied to all complex man-made objects, which includes the identification of objective dangers, the definition and ranking of threats, the assessment of the risk of their manifestation and the preparation of a forecast, which is done in favor of preventing catastrophic events caused by objective dangers. The most effective methods of threat and risk assessment are methods integrated into monitoring systems, decision support systems, and other automated management systems. The events of recent years in Ukraine require the definition of a terrorist threat as the primary and most important one, because in relation to nuclear facilities, under a positive man-made environment, it creates an avalanche-like emergency situation caused by nuclear, radiation, environmental and other catastrophic events. In turn, this will require the systematization of existing and the development of new methods, algorithms and protocols for assessing and countering terrorist threats at man-made objects. Keywords: emergency situation, catastrophic event, man-made object, danger, threat, risk.

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Section: аналіз останніх досліджень і публікаційunclassified

Threats and Risks Research Methods

Azarenko,

Honcharenko,

Divizinyuk

et al. 2023

MEC

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“…The comparison of different pairs of the selected activities was carried out using the Saaty Method [15,16], i.e., the respondents determined mutual preference of the selected ATC activities, using a range of preferences from 1 to 9. The range of preferences used was according to the following [17][18][19]:…”

Section: Questionnaire Surveymentioning

confidence: 99%

Development of a Methodology for Assessing Workload within the Air Traffic Control Environment in the Czech Republic

Hošková-Mayerová

Kalvoda²,

Bauer

et al. 2022

Sustainability

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The increase in civil aviation traffic and, in general, in aviation traffic going through airspace or a military terminal control area, and the increase in military operations in temporarily reserved areas bring higher requirements for airspace throughput and for the workload of military air traffic controllers. For an objective assessment of the military air traffic controllers’ workload, it is desirable to set the maximum level of workload that can be required of such personnel. This assessment is also important for planning staffing and training. In the civil air traffic control environment, the workload of air traffic controllers is clearly determined by the complexity and density of air traffic, i.e., the throughput capacity of sectors. However, this method is not suitable for measuring the workload of military air traffic controllers, because the nature of military flight activities requires solving different situations in the airspace and thus generates a different workload. One way of obtaining more objective data on the actual workload of military air traffic controllers is to accurately determine the difficulty of individual air traffic control activities, i.e., the most common activities carried out by military air traffic controllers in the course of their duty. The difficulty of a selected air traffic control activity will be represented by a weight. A method for determining this weight is presented, including the proposal of specific weights for the calculation of the military air traffic controllers’ workload during simulation training, using the functionality “Workload”.

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