2010
DOI: 10.1257/pol.2.2.61
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The Micro-Geography of Tax Avoidance: Evidence from Littered Cigarette Packs in Chicago

Abstract: The large tax differentials between Chicago and neighboring jurisdictions provide an incentive for cigarette tax avoidance. Data from a random sample of cigarette packs littered in Chicago reveals a startling degree of tax avoidance: three-quarters did not display a Chicago tax stamp. Also, the $2.68 difference between the tax in Chicago and surrounding counties decreases the probability of a local stamp by almost 60 percent, and a one mile increase in distance to the lower-tax state border increases the proba… Show more

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Cited by 120 publications
(135 citation statements)
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“…These studies typically find cross-border shopping to be substantial in settings where price differences are large and geographic distances small. For instance, according to Merriman (2010) in the city of Chicago where the dollar amount total taxes on a pack of cigarettes is nearly four times as large as in some of the neighbouring counties in Illinois, a $2.65 difference in prices reduces the probability of finding a littered packet of cigarettes with the local Chicago stamp by 60%. This is likely to be an extreme example, but even in cases where individuals have to cross national borders, the extent of cross-country shopping may be substantial.…”
Section: Previous Literaturementioning
confidence: 99%
“…These studies typically find cross-border shopping to be substantial in settings where price differences are large and geographic distances small. For instance, according to Merriman (2010) in the city of Chicago where the dollar amount total taxes on a pack of cigarettes is nearly four times as large as in some of the neighbouring counties in Illinois, a $2.65 difference in prices reduces the probability of finding a littered packet of cigarettes with the local Chicago stamp by 60%. This is likely to be an extreme example, but even in cases where individuals have to cross national borders, the extent of cross-country shopping may be substantial.…”
Section: Previous Literaturementioning
confidence: 99%
“…A number of innovative techniques to generate such estimates, used by independent researchers and governments, have recently appeared in the literature. In Chicago and New Zealand, researchers collected discarded cigarette packs and then identified those on which the appropriate tax was not collected (Merriman, 2010;Wilson, Thomson, Edwards, & Peace, 2009). In Italy, Gallus Tramacere, Zuccaro, Colombo, & La Vecchia (2009) used a survey instrument while a "gap analysis" has been used in South Africa and the United Kingdom (Blecher, 2010;HM Revenue and Customs, 2007).…”
Section: Illicit Trade Issuesmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Recent literature has provided some interesting and innovative techniques to undertake this. Merriman [3] and Wilson et al [4] have collected discarded cigarette packs in Chicago and New Zealand, respectively. Gallus et al [5] use a survey to estimate the scale of illicit trade in Italy, while HM Revenue and Customs [6] and Blecher [2] use a 'gap analysis' to estimate the scale of illicit trade over time in the United Kingdom and South Africa, respectively.…”
mentioning
confidence: 99%