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AbstractThis paper analyses the network structure of the credit default swap (CDS) market, using a unique sample of counterparties' bilateral notional exposures to CDS on 642 sovereign and financial reference entities. We study the network structure, similarly to the literature on interbank and payment systems, by computing a variety of network metrics at the aggregated level and for several subnetworks. At a reference entity level, we analyse the determinants of some key network properties for large reference entities. Our main results, obtained on a sub-sample of 191 reference entities, are the following. First, the CDS network shows topological similarities with the interbank network, as we document a "small world" structure and a scale-free degree distribution for the CDS market. Second, there is considerable heterogeneity in the network structures across reference entities. In particular, the outstanding debt volume and its structure (maturity, collateralization), the riskiness, the type (sovereign/financial) and the location (European/non-European) of reference entities significantly influence the size, the activity and the concentration of the CDS exposure network. For instance, the network on a high-volatility reference entity is typically more active, larger in size and less concentrated.
JEL Codes: G15.Keywords: Credit Default Swap (CDS), financial networks, network topology, network determinants.
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Non-technical summaryEven though the CDS market has grown considerably over the last decade, its structure is still little described and understood. This paper uses a large and novel dataset to analyze the CDS exposures network from three different perspectives: (i) the aggregated CDS network, (ii) various sub-networks, such as the sovereign CDS network and (iii) networks for CDS reference entities. The dataset, obtained from the DTCC, comprises virtually all gross and net exposures worldwide on 642 reference entities, including 40 sovereign and 602 financial reference entities as of end-2011. Its coverage represents about 32.7% of the global singlename CDS market.This paper provides two main contributions to the literature on CDS markets. First, it uses the tools of network analysis to provide a characterization of the topological properties of the aggregated CDS network and of several sub-networks with a lower level of aggregation (e.g. sovereign vs. financial, European vs. non-European reference entities). ...