The Oxford Handbook of Political Methodology 2009
DOI: 10.1093/oxfordhb/9780199286546.003.0011
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The Neyman— Rubin Model of Causal Inference and Estimation Via Matching Methods

Abstract: This article presents a detailed discussion of the Neyman-Rubin model of causal inference. Additionally, it describes under what conditions ‘matching’ approaches can lead to valid inferences, and what kinds of compromises sometimes have to be made with respect to generalizability to ensure valid causal inferences. Moreover, the article summarizes Mill's first three canons and shows the importance of taking chance into account and comparing conditional probabilities when chance variations cannot be ignored. The… Show more

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Cited by 92 publications
(75 citation statements)
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“…Observational studies are often confounded by the impossibility of simultaneously observing treatment and non-treatment effects in the same individual or groups of individuals. This has been referred to as the fundamental problem of causal inference (Rubin 1974;see also Holland 1986;Sekhon 2007). By randomly assigning a group of subjects into two groups: a treatment condition in which respondents are subjected to a causal variable and a control group in which they are not, experimenters can come as close as possible to overcoming the fundamental problem of causal inference and can assume that any difference in the two groups on an outcome variable of interest must be attributable to the treatment.…”
Section: Experiments In Political Sciencementioning
confidence: 99%
“…Observational studies are often confounded by the impossibility of simultaneously observing treatment and non-treatment effects in the same individual or groups of individuals. This has been referred to as the fundamental problem of causal inference (Rubin 1974;see also Holland 1986;Sekhon 2007). By randomly assigning a group of subjects into two groups: a treatment condition in which respondents are subjected to a causal variable and a control group in which they are not, experimenters can come as close as possible to overcoming the fundamental problem of causal inference and can assume that any difference in the two groups on an outcome variable of interest must be attributable to the treatment.…”
Section: Experiments In Political Sciencementioning
confidence: 99%
“…The potential (or counterfactual) outcomes framework is becoming increasingly popular in a wide array of empirical sciences, including epidemiology [15,16]. The foremost strength of this framework is the clarity it offers in defining causal effects, particularly in the context of observational studies [17].…”
Section: The Counterfactual Frameworkmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The potential outcome framework is also known as the Neyman-Rubin causal model [30], and it was Rubin who first recognized that use of this notation implicitly makes a "stable unit treatment value assumption" (SUTVA) or the assumption that [31]: (i) there is only one "version" of the exposure; and (ii) no subject's exposure can affect another subject's potential outcome. Regarding assumption (i), "version" is meant to connote, for example, different ways in which a subject might get exposed to a particular level of X, which may result in different causal effects.…”
Section: Sutva: Counterfactual Consistencymentioning
confidence: 99%