The pass-through of alcohol excise taxes to prices in OECD countries

Shang, Ce; Ngô, Anh; Chaloupka, Frank J.

doi:10.1007/s10198-020-01177-w

Cited by 19 publications

(13 citation statements)

References 34 publications

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“…Researchers have also estimated pass-through rates for other 'sin goods:' alcohol and sugar-sweetened beverages. Several studies find that alcohol taxes are more than fully passed through to prices (Kenkel 2005, Shrestha and Markowitz 2016, Shang, Ngo, and Chaloupka 2020, Gehrsitz, Saffer, and Grossman 2020. Recently, Cawley et al (2019) review 15 studies on passthrough rate for sugar-sweetened beverages, concluding that trends in prices after nationwide tax implementations are in line with the hypothesis that prices rise by the full amount of the tax.…”

Section: Literature Review and Backgroundmentioning

confidence: 99%

The Effects of E-Cigarette Taxes on E-Cigarette Prices and Tobacco Product Sales: Evidence from Retail Panel Data

Cotti

Courtemanche

Maclean

et al. 2020

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for very helpful comments. The views expressed herein are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the National Bureau of Economic Research or the National Institutes of Health. NBER working papers are circulated for discussion and comment purposes. They have not been peerreviewed or been subject to the review by the NBER Board of Directors that accompanies official NBER publications.

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Section: Literature Review and Backgroundmentioning

confidence: 99%

The Effects of E-Cigarette Taxes on E-Cigarette Prices and Tobacco Product Sales: Evidence from Retail Panel Data

Cotti

Courtemanche

Maclean

et al. 2020

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show abstract

“…Researchers have also estimated pass-through rates for other 'sin goods:' alcohol and sugar-sweetened beverages. Several studies find that alcohol taxes are more than fully passed through to prices (Kenkel 2005, Shrestha and Markowitz 2016, Shang, Ngo, and Chaloupka 2020, Gehrsitz, Saffer, and Grossman 2020. Recently, Cawley et al (2019) review 15 pass-through rate studies for sugar-sweetened beverages, concluding that trends in prices after nationwide tax implementations are in line with the hypothesis that prices rise by the full amount of the tax.…”

Section: Literature Reviewmentioning

confidence: 99%

The Effects of E-Cigarette Taxes on E-Cigarette Prices and Tobacco Product Sales: Evidence from Retail Panel Data

et al. 2021

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Researcher(s) own analyses calculated (or derived) based in part on data from Nielsen Consumer LLC and marketing databases provided through the NielsenIQ Datasets at the Kilts Center for Marketing Data Center at The University of Chicago Booth School of Business. The views expressed herein are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the National Bureau of Economic Research or the National Institutes of Health.NBER working papers are circulated for discussion and comment purposes. They have not been peerreviewed or been subject to the review by the NBER Board of Directors that accompanies official NBER publications.

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“…The RES-mean gives greater weight to less precise estimates. 10 The RES-mean for alcohol is 1.16 and the confidence interval is 1.09 to 1.24, suggesting on average there is overshifting of taxes. The prediction interval is 0.69 to 1.64, consistent with both under-and overshifting of taxes.…”

Section: Results For Weighted Means and Heterogeneity Testsmentioning

confidence: 96%

“…No two studies are identical. A variety of special issues also are addressed in primary studies such as border effects arising from tax increases in one jurisdiction [9] or pass-through rates that vary across the price spectrum [10]. These issues are not addressed here, but methods and results are described at length in the prior review [6].…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Pass-Through Rates for Alcohol Beverage Excise Taxes: Fixed-Effect versus Random-Effects Meta-Analysis and Meta-Regressions

Nelson¹

2021

aeb

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This paper extends an earlier study to compare two methods for meta-analysis of economic data: fixed-effect models and random-effects models. The models differ fundamentally in the ability to generalize beyond the sample in question. Both models are applied to estimates of pass-through rates for excise taxes on alcohol beverages. Using best-set data from 30 primary studies, weighted means are first reported and compared against a fully-passed tax or rate of unity. Dispersion and heterogeneity statistics are used to assess the performance of each model. Second, means and dispersion statistics are reported by subgroups for country source, beverage (beer, wine-spirits), and published status. Third, tests are conducted for publication selection bias using funnel plots and regression asymmetry tests. Fourth, three procedures are undertaken to reduce selection bias: trim-and-fill; cumulative meta-analysis; and meta-regressions. Three conclusions are reached in the paper. First, average pass-through rates are approximately unity regardless of beverage. Primary researchers should compare estimated rates against this value. Second, a random-effects model is more appropriate for these data, reflecting highly diverse estimates of pass-through rates. Third, greater attention needs to be given to the choice of model for meta-regressions in economics and related disciplines.

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The pass-through of alcohol excise taxes to prices in OECD countries

Cited by 19 publications

References 34 publications

The Effects of E-Cigarette Taxes on E-Cigarette Prices and Tobacco Product Sales: Evidence from Retail Panel Data

The Effects of E-Cigarette Taxes on E-Cigarette Prices and Tobacco Product Sales: Evidence from Retail Panel Data

The Effects of E-Cigarette Taxes on E-Cigarette Prices and Tobacco Product Sales: Evidence from Retail Panel Data

Pass-Through Rates for Alcohol Beverage Excise Taxes: Fixed-Effect versus Random-Effects Meta-Analysis and Meta-Regressions

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