The persistence of political myths and ideologies

Apolte, Thomas; Müller, Julia

doi:10.1016/j.ejpoleco.2021.102076

Cited by 5 publications

(1 citation statement)

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“…Models that wish to begin to capture the variegated tapestry of real voters' behavior must go beyond the consistency criteria that would define an abstract notion of 'rationality' or of 'rational voter'. Indeed, in a well-known work, Caplan (2007) calls the rational voter "a myth", and there is a growing concern with accounting for behavioral and cognitive biases in political choice (Bischoff and Siemers 2013;Diermeier and Li 2017;Apolte and Müller 2022).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

On the optimality of policy choices in the face of biased beliefs, retrospective voting and the down-up problem

Seixas,

Lourenço

2024

Soc Choice Welf

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Previous literature has shown that voters’ biased beliefs regarding policy outcomes incentivize the selection of seemingly better, but socially worse, policies. It has also shown that voters’ tendency to gauge an incumbent’s competence by the present state of the economy (retrospective voting) could counteract biased beliefs. In this article, we argue that, when the advantageous consequences of a measure of policy only accrue with considerable lag (the down-up problem), retrospective voting instead amplifies the effects of biased beliefs. Still, we find that it may nevertheless be optimal for an incumbent to select good long-term policies if the incumbent is strongly motivated by the success of the chosen policies. Finally, we investigate the robustness of these conclusions by considering an incumbent bias, limited accountability, and the introduction of incentive and threshold contracts.

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Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

On the optimality of policy choices in the face of biased beliefs, retrospective voting and the down-up problem

Seixas,

Lourenço

2024

Soc Choice Welf

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Philanthropy as politics: The precolonial Georgia project for a new start in life for England's poor

Hillman

2024

European Journal of Political Economy

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Die politische Ökonomie von Massenprotesten und Revolutionen

Apolte

2021

Perspektiven Der Wirtschaftspolitik

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Zusammenfassung Im Herbst 1989 veränderten politische Proteste die Welt. Ein Regime nach dem anderen kollabierte unter dem Druck massenhafter Proteste, und es sah danach aus, als ob es sich kein Regime mehr leisten könne, den Willen und die Bedürfnisse der Bevölkerung zu ignorieren. Inzwischen ist dieser Eindruck breiter Ernüchterung gewichen. Vor allem nach offenkundig manipulierten Wahlen flammen zwar immer wieder Massenproteste auf, doch werden sie meist erfolgreich unterdrückt. In der modernen Politischen Ökonomie hat sich eine umfangreiche Literatur rund um diese Thematik etabliert. Thomas Apolte gibt in diesem Beitrag einen Überblick darüber und analysiert vor diesem Hintergrund, unter welchen Bedingungen sich in autokratischen Regimen Massenprotest formiert, wann solche Proteste die Stabilität eines autokratischen Regimes gefährden und, als Ausblick, wann ein Regimekollaps den Weg in eine demokratische Gesellschaft ebnen kann.

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The persistence of political myths and ideologies

Cited by 5 publications

References 50 publications

On the optimality of policy choices in the face of biased beliefs, retrospective voting and the down-up problem

On the optimality of policy choices in the face of biased beliefs, retrospective voting and the down-up problem

Philanthropy as politics: The precolonial Georgia project for a new start in life for England's poor

Die politische Ökonomie von Massenprotesten und Revolutionen

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