The present work confirms the validity of previously derived relations between the Polar Cap (PC) indices and the ASY-H and the Dst and SYM-H ring current indices when used in real time applications. PC indices are here derived in simulated real-time versions by using past data only from -40 days up to current time in the construction of the quiet reference levels (QDCs) for the magnetic data. From analyses spanning a decade (2009-2018), equivalent ASY-H index values were derived from a linear relation with simulated real-time PCN (North) and PCS (South) indices combined to form the non-negative PCC indices. For cases of strong magnetic storms (Dst(peak)<-100 nT), the equivalent ASY-H indices were found to agree well with reported (real) ASY-H index values. The simulated real-time PCC indices, furthermore, have been used in a PC-based source function to derive equivalent values of the total ring current indices Dst (or SYM-H) up to one hour ahead of time. With integration of the source function throughout a decade (2009-2018) with no attachment to reported Dst values, the simulated real-time equivalent Dst indices display close agreement with real Dst index values. The applied method could be used without modifications to generate PC index values and derived ASY-H and Dst (or SYM-H) index values in real-time space weather applications.
Introduction.The hourly Dst index (Sugiura and Kamei, 1981) and the equivalent 1-min SYM-H index values derived from low-latitude magnetic observations are considered to represents the intensity of the magnetospheric ring current of mirroring ions drifting near equator at distances of 4 to 6 Earth Radii (RE). A relation between the accumulated kinetic energy of the charged particles encircling the Earth and the Dst* indices (i.e., the Dst indices corrected for magnetopause current effects) is provided by the Dessler-Parker-Sckopke relation (Dessler and Parker, 1959;Sckopke, 1966). The ring currents are believed to result from solar wind-magnetosphere interactions. Thus, building the ring currents could be considered to represent the input of energy from the solar wind conveyed by the electric fields extended over the magnetosphere (Burton et al., 1975). In addition to building the ring currents, the incoming solar wind energy is also used to power further disturbance processes such as polar and auroral magnetic substorm activity that may generate upper atmosphere heating and strong auroral currents which, in turn, generate geomagnetically induced currents (GIC) in conducting structures on ground. The strongest GIC cases could seriously disturb power grids (