2010
DOI: 10.5129/001041510x12911363509675
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The Politics of Immigration: Dictatorship, Development, and Defense

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Cited by 28 publications
(26 citation statements)
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“…Long-term population forecasting is notoriously difficult (see Gietel-Basten and Sobotka 2020 for recent discourse in that field). This is especially the case to the extent that migration is a powerful force of demographic change in developed countries (Parr 2020), yet it is fundamentally difficult to forecast, particularly due to factors like political change (e.g., Mirilovic 2010;Wiśniowski, Bijak, and Shang 2014) and climate change (e.g., Gemenne 2011;Hoffmann et al 2020). However, even the high-growth variant of the UN's 2019 World Population Prospects suggests that the global old age dependency ratio (20-69 versus 70+) will rise from 10% in 2020 to 22% in 2100.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Long-term population forecasting is notoriously difficult (see Gietel-Basten and Sobotka 2020 for recent discourse in that field). This is especially the case to the extent that migration is a powerful force of demographic change in developed countries (Parr 2020), yet it is fundamentally difficult to forecast, particularly due to factors like political change (e.g., Mirilovic 2010;Wiśniowski, Bijak, and Shang 2014) and climate change (e.g., Gemenne 2011;Hoffmann et al 2020). However, even the high-growth variant of the UN's 2019 World Population Prospects suggests that the global old age dependency ratio (20-69 versus 70+) will rise from 10% in 2020 to 22% in 2100.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Facing a dangerous geopolitical environment, more welcoming immigration policies are intended to directly bolster the armed forces through recruitment, while also increasing potential military strength in more gradual ways by fostering greater economic wealth through the resources and perspectives offered by newcomers (Rudolph 2006, 31). Cross-national evidence shows that countries experiencing severe external threats actually tend to implement fewer restrictions on immigration inflows (Mirilovic 2010). Governments worried over the state of their armed forces likewise have tended to restrict emigration outflows to maintain military recruitment potential (Foreman-Peck 1992).…”
Section: Military Service and National Securitymentioning
confidence: 99%
“…One example is the argument that authoritarian states adopt more permissive immigrant admissions policies than democracies (e.g. Breunig et al, 2011;Mirilovic, 2010). Democracies may also be more likely targets for coercively engineered migrations, as Greenhill argues in her chapter in this volume.…”
mentioning
confidence: 99%