“…Among the statistical methods, used for WSF there are both linear and nonlinear models. Common linear statistical models for WSF include the autoregressive (AR) [18], linear regression [19], moving average (MA) [20], Kalman filtering [23,24], ARMA [21], Markov chain [25] and AR integrated MA (ARIMA) [22] models. If the J o u r n a l P r e -p r o o f Journal Pre-proof nonlinear characteristics are prominent, however, the forecasting results by these models may not be satisfactory for the intended application [26].…”