The potential effects of climate change on the Scottish tourist industry

Harrison, S. J.; Winterbottom, S. J.; Sheppard, Charles

doi:10.1016/s0261-5177(98)00072-7

Cited by 85 publications

(56 citation statements)

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“…Previous papers on climate change and tourism have focussed on biophysically constructed comfort indices (see, for example, Scott and McBoyle, 2001;Amelung and Viner, in press), and on potential impacts and adaptation of particular tourism resorts (see, for example, Gable, 1997;Harrison et al, 1999;Perry, 2000;Lohmann, 2001;Elsasser and Bürki, 2002). Other papers, which include destination characteristics, are closer to the analysis presented here.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 83%

The Impact of Climate on Holiday Destination Choice

Hamilton²,

2006

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Abstract. The holiday destination choice is analysed for tourists from 45 countries, representing all continents and all climates. Tourists are deterred by distance, political instability and poverty, and attracted to coasts. Tourists prefer countries with a sunny yet mild climate, shun climates that are too hot or too cold. A country's tourists' aversion for poverty and distance can be predicted by that country's average per capita income. The preferred holiday climate is the same for all tourists, independent of the home climate. However, tourists from hotter climates have more pronounced preferences.

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Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 83%

The Impact of Climate on Holiday Destination Choice

Hamilton²,

2006

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“…Research has focused in particular on tourism within coastal environments (Turner et al 1998, Morgan 1999, Jennings 2004, mountain environments (Abegg & Froesch 1994, Mohnl 1996, Whetton et al 1996, Harrison et al 1999, Elasser & Burki 2002, Scott et al 2003 and wetland areas (Wall 1998). Recent reviews of the literature on tourism and climate are given in Scott et al (2005) and Gossling & Hall (2005).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Impacts of short-term climate variability in the UK on demand for domestic and international tourism

Agnew¹,

Palutikof²

2006

Clim. Res.

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The sensitivity of UK tourism to climate variability (on intra-and inter-annual scales) was investigated using empirical statistical models. A set of climate indices (mean monthly and annual temperature, rainfall and sunshine) describes present day variability in climate, while tourism demand is described by a dataset comprising domestic (monthly numbers of tourist nights) and international (annual numbers of trips abroad) tourist flows. An understanding of climate sensitivity based on real data then provided a basis for the examination of potential effects of climate change on the economically important tourism sector. Outbound flows of tourists are more responsive to climate variability of the preceding year, whereas domestic tourism is more responsive to variability within the year of travel. For outward tourism, wetter-and duller-than-average conditions in the year previous to travel seem to encourage more trips abroad. Drier-and warmer-than-average conditions increase same-month domestic trips, but a change in the direction of the association in subsequent months is indicative of inelasticity in the system. The anomalously warm year of 1995 in the UK was used to represent the potential impact of climate change. The results suggest that the generally warmer and drier conditions of 1995 benefited the UK domestic tourist industry by an estimated £ 309 million, relative to mean climate. KEY WORDS: Tourism · Climate impacts · Regression analysisResale or republication not permitted without written consent of the publisher

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“…A classification of two precipitation categories -with and without precipitation -is used in this analysis. A day with precipitation is defined, in accordance with Wakonigg (1981) and Harrison et al (1999), as any day with at least 1 mm of rainfall. Lower levels of precipitation (less than 1 mm per day) are noticed by the visitors, but are not seen as having a major influence on the decision-making process regarding recreational activity.…”

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confidence: 99%

Weather and cycling—a first approach to the effects of weather conditions on cycling

Brandenburg

Matzarakis

Arnberger

2007

Meteorological Applications

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ABSTRACT:In urban and suburban recreation areas, walking and cycling constitute an important part of leisure activities. Both activities involving motion, are not only carried out for recreation but also for commuting to and from work. The mixture of recreation and commuting cycling is a challenge for park management. Conflicts between user groups, such as walkers and cyclists, exist due to the different movement speeds and also different user profiles: walkers, leisure cyclists and cyclists who commute have distinctive degrees of acceptance towards other user groups. Another challenge for park management is the damage caused by the bicycles. There is damage to the surface of gravel trails due to the frequency of use and there is damage to the vegetation next to the trails as a result of evasive manoeuvres by the cyclists. Paved trails are preferred by cyclists as this results in increased speed.Important issues associated with park management are: degradation of the soil surface in general, and trails in particular, as well as conflicts between different recreational users, such as walkers and cyclists caused by their different user profiles including different speeds and acceptance of social carrying capacities.To shed some light on bicycling activities in Vienna, an analysis of the pattern of the temporal use of daily frequency of recreational and commuting cyclists was carried out, taking weather conditions into consideration. The results show that, principally, cycling is an activity performed during fine weather. This is especially the case for recreational use. Fine weather is interpreted as generally sunny weather with an ambient temperature of more than 5°C, few clouds and no precipitation for a period of 1 year. In this study, the temperature, precipitation and cloud cover, as well as the thermal index 'physiologically equivalent temperature' (PET), were used as parameters to describe more precisely the dependence of both cyclist groups on the local weather conditions.

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The potential effects of climate change on the Scottish tourist industry

Cited by 85 publications

References 0 publications

The Impact of Climate on Holiday Destination Choice

The Impact of Climate on Holiday Destination Choice

Impacts of short-term climate variability in the UK on demand for domestic and international tourism

Weather and cycling—a first approach to the effects of weather conditions on cycling

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