2022
DOI: 10.1029/2022ef002777
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The Poverty Impacts of Labor Heat Stress in West Africa Under a Warming Climate

Abstract: This paper assesses the poverty implications of heat stress‐related labor capacity losses based on simulations using a global general equilibrium economic model. Compared with past studies, we use a more precise measurement of heat stress, assign labor capacity losses to specific labor types by sector, and employ an economic model that contains highly disaggregated economic sectors and regions. This model allows us to determine global and regional economic impacts that account for international dependencies. W… Show more

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Cited by 11 publications
(2 citation statements)
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References 64 publications
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“…An alarming increase in the area experiencing extreme moist heat conditions during monsoon season draws immediate attention to revising the outdoor working hours. For instance, a 3°C increase in global warming can reduce labor productivity by 7% and contribute to at least 4% reduction of GDP in India (Saeed et al., 2022), which leads to inflation in crop prices (de Lima et al., 2021). In recent period, the agricultural sector's transition toward automation decreased 26 million employment between 2011 and 2015 (Bandura & Sword, 2018).…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…An alarming increase in the area experiencing extreme moist heat conditions during monsoon season draws immediate attention to revising the outdoor working hours. For instance, a 3°C increase in global warming can reduce labor productivity by 7% and contribute to at least 4% reduction of GDP in India (Saeed et al., 2022), which leads to inflation in crop prices (de Lima et al., 2021). In recent period, the agricultural sector's transition toward automation decreased 26 million employment between 2011 and 2015 (Bandura & Sword, 2018).…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…For example, the cost of human heat stress could increase regional cost of crop production by 10% or more in tropical regions (Orlov et al., 2021). Heat stress impacts on labor can also increase poverty in regions with a limited adaptive capacity (Saeed et al., 2022). While several studies investigated the heat stress impacts under different future warming scenarios, relatively little research has been done on quantifying the effects of LCLMC on heat stress, and productivity and capacity of labor.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%