The Predictive Validity of a General Risk/Needs Assessment Inventory on Sexual Offender Recidivism and an Exploration of the Professional Override

Wormith, J. Stephen; Hogg, Sarah M.; Guzzo, Lina

doi:10.1177/0093854812455741

Cited by 116 publications

(172 citation statements)

References 53 publications

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“…The remaining sections produced weak associations with recidivism. Wormith, Hogg, and Guzzo (2012) found the Specific Risk/Need section to highly correlate with general recidivism among sex offenders, but less so for violent outcomes. The other sections had significant correlations, but the magnitude of their associations was markedly reduced.…”

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confidence: 88%

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Prediction of General and Violent Recidivism Among Mentally Disordered Adult Offenders

Canales

Campbell

Wei³

et al. 2014

Criminal Justice and Behavior

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The present investigation examined the predictive validity of the Level of Service/Risk-Need-Responsivity (LS/RNR) instrument for general and violent recidivism in a sample of 138 community-supervised adult mentally disordered offenders. The General Risk/Need section was strongly predictive of general recidivism, whereas the Specific Risk/Need section most strongly predicted violent recidivism. Among males, the General Risk/Need section produced a large effect size for general recidivism, whereas general and violent outcomes for females were best predicted by the Specific Risk/Need section. Across diagnostic subgroups, the General and Specific Risk/Need sections predicted general but not violent recidivism; however, many subgroups were small, highlighting a need for replication research with larger samples. The Other Client Issues and Special Responsivity Considerations sections did not significantly inform recidivism prediction. Broadly interpreted, the overall pattern supports the LS/RNR instrument as valid for use with mentally disordered offenders.

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confidence: 88%

“…Although they are normally interpreted qualitatively, a scoring procedure was adopted in which all items marked as "yes" were summed to generate section and subscale totals. This scoring procedure has been used in past research (i.e., Girard & Wormith, 2004;Wormith et al, 2012). Note.…”

Section: Materials Ls/rnrmentioning

confidence: 99%

Prediction of General and Violent Recidivism Among Mentally Disordered Adult Offenders

Canales

Campbell

Wei³

et al. 2014

Criminal Justice and Behavior

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

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“…Brews, 2009;Rettinger & Andrews, 2010;Wormith, Hogg, & Guzzo, 2012) and with mentally disordered offenders specifically (Girard & Wormith, 2004;Skeem et al, 2014). In a recent meta-analysis of 128 studies comprising 137,931 offenders, Olver, Stockdale, and Wormith (2014) reported the LS scales to significantly predict general and violent recidivism (r = .29 and .23, respectively); these effects were upheld across gender and ethnicity.…”

Section: Level Of Service/case Management Inventorymentioning

confidence: 99%

The relationship between mental illness and violence in a mentally disordered offender sample: evaluating criminogenic and psychopathological predictors

Kingston

Olver

Harris

et al. 2016

Psychology, Crime & Law

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“…A number of studies demonstrate practitioners tend to overwhelmingly escalate the prediction of risk for those convicted of sexual offences, to excessive levels (Ansbro, 2010;Wormith, Hogg, & Guzzo, 2012). The RM2000 classifications for this present study do not appear to have been included in the decision making of the risk management strategies developed as part of the clients risk management planning, or were at least not recorded as such.…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 88%

Effective risk management planning for those convicted of sexual offending

Kewley

Beech

Harkins³

et al. 2015

Jnl Aggress Conflict Peace Res

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Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to examine the extent to which risk is addressed in the risk management planning process of those convicted of sexual offending. Design/methodology/approach – Data were collected from a risk assessment and management system called the Offender Assessment System (OASys), used by the National Offender Management Service, in England and Wales. The records of 216 clients were accessed and each risk management plan analysed. The study aimed to understand if first, general and sexual risk factors identified by assessors were recorded and detailed in subsequent plans; second, if specialist sexual offending risk assessment tools were used to inform risk management strategies; and third, if both a balance of control and support mechanisms were in place to tackle identified risk and needs of clients. Findings – Inconsistencies were found in relation to practitioners transposing risks identified, into the subsequent risk management plans. Strategies were therefore deemed, inadequate as there was a significant omission of the use of specialist sexual risk assessment tools to inform and ensure risk assessment to be robust. In addition risk management plans were often overbearing in nature, as assessors tended to utilise control strategies to assist the reintegration process, in contrast to a combination of both control and support. Research limitations/implications – This sample was taken from only one probation trust in England and Wales. The findings might therefore be unique to this organisation rather than be representative of national practice. This study should therefore, be replicated in a number of other probation areas. In addition, it is important to note that this study only reviewed one electronic tool used by practitioners. Therefore, while it might appear for example that the RM2000 tool was not routinely completed; this cannot be assumed as practitioners might have adopted local custom and practice, recording RM2000 scores elsewhere. Practical implications – These findings highlight the need for some understanding as to why there is a lack of consistency throughout the risk management planning process. Practitioners should receive ongoing risk management training, development and supportive supervision. In particular, practitioners require supervision that supports and develops their skills when applying RM2000 classifications to their clients’ risk management plans. Likewise initiatives which develop practitioner’s awareness and application of strengths based approaches such as the Good Lives Model should be encouraged. These will help practitioners develop plans that address both the risks while supporting their development of the strengths a client presents. Originality/value – To the authors’ knowledge, this is the first study of its kind, which examines the risk management plans of those convicted of sexual offending, completed by practitioners in England and Wales using the OASys tool.

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The Predictive Validity of a General Risk/Needs Assessment Inventory on Sexual Offender Recidivism and an Exploration of the Professional Override

Cited by 116 publications

References 53 publications

Prediction of General and Violent Recidivism Among Mentally Disordered Adult Offenders

Prediction of General and Violent Recidivism Among Mentally Disordered Adult Offenders

The relationship between mental illness and violence in a mentally disordered offender sample: evaluating criminogenic and psychopathological predictors

Effective risk management planning for those convicted of sexual offending

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