Medical oncology is at a critical crossroads. Our subspecialty emerged at a time when treatment of cancer was limited to surgical removal or radiation therapy for patients with localized malignancies. Patients were referred to medical oncologists with advanced-stage disease only, when other options had been exhausted. An empirical approach to care emerged. As new agents became available, they were tested across a broad range of cancers. In time, the benefits of combination chemotherapy were defined; chemotherapy became established as effective treatment of cancer in palliative, adjuvant and curative-intent settings. Again, largely through trial and error, and well-conducted clinical trials, effective therapeutic approaches emerged that successfully combined chemotherapy with radiation and/or surgery. Only in recent years has medical oncology begun to leave its early roots behind to enter the era of genomics and targeted therapies. 1 The empirical approach to medical oncology, and the relatively low penetration of clinical trials into practice enabled it to remain a craft or guild-based specialty. 2,3 Individual patients expected to be offered uniquely designed solutions in which the medical oncologist forged a pact with the patient to identify the very best combination of agents for their condition. As relapses occurred, medical oncologists were ready with alternative solutions, combining different agents, or recycling previously effective ones, until the patient was either too infirm for further treatment or toxicities became intolerable. The results of this approach have best been summarized by Smith and Hillner in their article, "Bending the Cost Curve in Cancer Care." 4 Cancer care costs have spiraled out of control, rising far more quickly than other health care expenses, greatly taxing insurers and employers, and frequently resulting in catastrophic financial consequences to patients, with little associated benefit. 5,6 Why Has Craft-Based Medical Oncology Practice Failed?
Lack of a Strong Evidence BasePoonacha and Go 7 recently published an exhaustive review of 1,023 clinical practice guideline (CPG) recommendations from the National Comprehensive Cancer Network for 10 common malignancies. Level 1 recommendations (high-level evidence with strong consensus) were found in only 6% of the CPGs, ranging from 1% for colorectal cancer to 20% for kidney cancer. Category 1 recommendations were available most often for therapeutic decision making and were largely absent for screening or surveillance. These findings are similar to those previously reported by Djulbegovic et al,8,9 who found that among 1,000 key decisions related to patients with cancer, only 24% could be supported by reliable evidence; these decisions were based on only a tiny fraction of articles published in the oncology literature.