“…Early studies of welfare dynamics looked at simple models of transition on and off the AFDC program and found that higher welfare benefits and poor economic alternatives increased welfare dependency (Hutchins, 1981;Plotnick, 1983). Findings from subsequent work, which included a richer set of demographic variables, covered a larger window of time, and sometimes accounted for state effects, differentiated between long-term and short-term recipients (Bane and Ellwood, 1983), and examined factors associated with long-term welfare use (Bane and Ellwood, 1994;Boisjoly, Harris, and Duncan, 1998;Fitzgerald, 1995;Gleason, Rangarajan, and Schochet, 1998;Hoynes and MaCurdy, 1994;Kunz and Born, 1996;O'Neill, Bassi, and Wolf, 1987;Petersen, 1995). Overall, these studies found that disadvantaged women (such as those never-married, younger, disabled, poorly educated, with more or younger children, low expected wage, etc.)…”