2016
DOI: 10.1007/s11698-016-0144-7
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The response of vital rates to harvest fluctuations in pre-industrial Sweden

Abstract: This study examines whether there was a Malthusian equilibrium mechanism in Sweden in the pre-industrial period. A unique data set on harvests, deaths, marriages and births going back to 1630 is used to calculate cumulative elasticities of vital rates with respect to harvest. While earlier studies have mostly focused on the impact of real wage, this study uses the calorie content of per capita harvests as an indicator of living standards. It finds that there indeed was a response of vital rates to harvest fluc… Show more

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Cited by 11 publications
(11 citation statements)
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“…should therefore be removed when assessing the magnitude of the preventive check. Third, using an error correction mechanism framework with contemporaneous effects, our investigation is the first to estimate the strength of the preventive check both in the long term and the short term; recent studies on other countries focused on either longterm (Klemp and Møller 2016:858;Møller and Sharp 2014:129) or short-term elasticities (e.g., Edvinsson 2017;Fernihough 2013).…”
Section: The Preventive Checkmentioning
confidence: 99%
See 1 more Smart Citation
“…should therefore be removed when assessing the magnitude of the preventive check. Third, using an error correction mechanism framework with contemporaneous effects, our investigation is the first to estimate the strength of the preventive check both in the long term and the short term; recent studies on other countries focused on either longterm (Klemp and Møller 2016:858;Møller and Sharp 2014:129) or short-term elasticities (e.g., Edvinsson 2017;Fernihough 2013).…”
Section: The Preventive Checkmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…A first generation of studies, published mostly in the 1980s, studied mainly the short-term bivariate relationships between vital events or vital rates and grain prices as a proxy for income (e.g., Galloway 1988;Lee 1981;Weir 1984). More recent work, by contrast, has made use of new or improved data sets of vital rates and real wages and has employed multivariate time series methods-most notably, vector autoregression (VAR) and structural time series analysis-to study Malthusian relationships from a systemic perspective (e.g., Edvinsson 2017;Fernihough 2013;Lee and Anderson 2002;Møller and Sharp 2014;Nicolini 2007). This change in methodology has also led to a greater attention for structural, long-term interaction between demographic and economic variables as opposed to short-term relationships.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…As a short-term relation, however, GDP per capita growth seems to have affected mortality even before the epidemiological transition, since this effect can be found to prevail in the early English data sample (see figure 3.7, left graph) and to wear off in the late sample (see figure 3.7, right graph). Some authors (Nicolini 2007;Crafts and Mills 2009;Pfister and Fertig 2010;Fernihough 2012;Herzer et al 2012;Moller and Sharp 2014;Rathke and Sarferaz 2014;Edvinsson 2017) have argued in favour of complementing "Malthusian effects" in the sense that the PoP in its tendency to raise population not only enhances fertility, but at the same time operates towards lower mortality. These authors regard the statistically significant positive effect of GDP per capita growth on birth rate as evidence of "preventive checks" in general, which are not to be confused with the GPC.…”
Section: A Critical Note On the Prevailing Measurement Of Preventive mentioning
confidence: 99%
“…On Scandinavia, see Bengtsson and Dribe, ‘New evidence’; Dribe, Olsson, and Svensson, ‘Agricultural revolution’; Edvinsson, ‘Vital rates’; Klemp and Møller, ‘Post‐Malthusian dynamics’; Lagerlöf, ‘Malthus’. As examples of the broader literature, also see Nicolini, ‘Malthus’; Crafts and Mills, ‘Malthus’.…”
mentioning
confidence: 99%
“…See, for example, Bengtsson and Dribe, ‘New evidence’; Dribe et al., ‘Agricultural revolution’; Edvinsson, ‘Vital rates’; Klemp and Møller, ‘Post‐Malthusian dynamics’; Lagerlöf, ‘Malthus’.…”
mentioning
confidence: 99%