The risk and cost of job loss in Canada, 1978–2008

Morissette, René; Qiu, Hanqing; Chan, Ping Ching Winnie

doi:10.1111/caje.12052

Cited by 17 publications

(9 citation statements)

References 22 publications

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“…3 Indeed, some studies of business dynamism have identified large age and education composition effects, but then did not separate trends by gender (Hyatt and Spletzer, 2016;Molloy et al, 2016). Other studies have failed to account for such shifts altogether because business dynamism research often uses data that include little or no information about the composition of the workforce (Davis and Haltiwanger, 2014;Decker et al, 2014;Morissette et al, 2013). 4 Because of these limitations, we hypothesize that recent studies arguing that labour market dynamism has decreased may lead to the inaccurate conclusion that the transformations reported in the flexibilization literature have not translated into a transformation of career trajectories and a decrease in job stability as experienced by workers.…”

Section: Competing Trends Affecting Job Stabilitymentioning

confidence: 99%

Are All the Stable Jobs Gone? The Transformation of the Worker–Firm Relationship and Trends in Job Tenure Duration and Separations in Canada, 1976–2015

St‐Denis

Hollister

2023

Work, Employment and Society

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The literature on flexibilization documents the decline of the standard employment relationships, resulting in greater job insecurity. Consequently, the stability of career trajectories is expected to have decreased. However, existing studies in many countries pose a significant challenge: the available evidence shows no clear downward trend and possibly even an increase in job stability since the 1970s, as measured by trends in job tenure duration or job separations. This article highlights important limitations of such studies and provides novel evidence on the transformation of career trajectories. It is the first to provide evidence of a decrease in average job tenure duration for men in Canada and a decrease in five-year and 10-year retention rates over the four decades between 1976 and 2015, adjusting for sociodemographic shifts unrelated to flexibilization. We also find that average job tenure has increased for women, while their long-term job retention rates declined.

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Section: Competing Trends Affecting Job Stabilitymentioning

confidence: 99%

Are All the Stable Jobs Gone? The Transformation of the Worker–Firm Relationship and Trends in Job Tenure Duration and Separations in Canada, 1976–2015

St‐Denis

Hollister

2023

Work, Employment and Society

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“…They are also remarkably consistent with the analysis of Morissette et al . () for Canada. For the UK, Hijzen et al .…”

Section: Literature Reviewmentioning

confidence: 99%

Don't Look Down: The Consequences of Job Loss in a Flexible Labour Market

Upward

Wright

2017

Economica

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We estimate the earnings, hours and income effects of job loss for a representative sample of UK workers from 1991 to 2007. We follow workers before and after job loss, regardless of their labour market state, and we match displaced workers with similar non-displaced workers. This provides a more comprehensive picture of the effect of job loss in the UK than previously available. Job loss causes a long-run reduction in income that is due mainly to reductions in monthly pay rather than in employment propensity. Income from other labour market states and from welfare payments does little to compensate for income losses. This lack of a 'safety net' means that job loss in the UK has a similar impact to job loss in the USA. 174 ECONOMICA [JANUARY FIGURE 3. Individual gross income by treatment and control groups. Notes: Relative time is grouped into annual intervals. In the first panel, pay is zero for all non-employment spells. The second panel uses only spells of employment. 95% confidence intervals around the mean based on clustered standard errors. Economica

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“…If the shock is more permanent or has elements that are likely to be permanent associated with any restructuring, then workers who are permanently displaced from their jobs experience substantial wage losses associated with their loss of fi rm-specifi c human capital. Morissette, Qui, and Chan (2013 ) cite evidence from the literature for Canada that permanent job losses led to earnings losses of around 20 to 30 percent for those who found a job within a year, and around 20 percent after fi ve years after their job loss. In both cases, the losses were higher for women then for men.…”

Section: Determine Early the Novel Versus Permanent Nature Of The Shockmentioning

confidence: 99%

Playbook for Labour Policies for Novel Shocks Such as COVID-19

Gunderson

2020

Canadian Public Policy

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This article outlines a playbook for labour policies to deal with novel shocks such as COVID-19. The labour-related characteristics of such shocks are outlined, with special attention to whether and how they require labour market policy responses that are different from the conventional policies. Elements of a playbook for dealing with the crisis, as well as coming out of it, are outlined. They include having a first-responder policy team in place; acting quickly but flexibly; determining early the novel versus permanent nature of the shock; keeping people in their existing jobs; co-ordinating across other departments and jurisdictions; balancing active labour market policy versus passive income support; co-ordinating with other departments and jurisdictions; having information on lessons from previous shocks; anticipating conflicts; and planning for the recovery with an exit strategy. Although the playbook is illustrated with examples related to COVID-19, it applies to other novel shocks.

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The risk and cost of job loss in Canada, 1978–2008

Cited by 17 publications

References 22 publications

Are All the Stable Jobs Gone? The Transformation of the Worker–Firm Relationship and Trends in Job Tenure Duration and Separations in Canada, 1976–2015

Are All the Stable Jobs Gone? The Transformation of the Worker–Firm Relationship and Trends in Job Tenure Duration and Separations in Canada, 1976–2015

Don't Look Down: The Consequences of Job Loss in a Flexible Labour Market

Playbook for Labour Policies for Novel Shocks Such as COVID-19

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